Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62.5% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) share price closing the week of April 27 in the $90-$100 range, reflecting stabilization around the current $92 level after a 10% post-earnings selloff on April 16. Despite Q1 revenue of $12.25 billion (up 16% year-over-year) and EPS of $1.23 beating estimates, shares plunged on weaker-than-expected Q2 guidance, unchanged full-year 2026 revenue growth outlook of 12-14%, and co-founder Reed Hastings' board departure, raising growth sustainability doubts amid maturing subscriber bases. A $25 billion share buyback announcement provides support, aligning with analyst consensus price targets averaging $115, though 32% odds on $80-$90 signal persistent downside risks absent new catalysts ahead of July earnings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$90-$100 63%
$80-$90 30%
$100-$110 14%
$70-$80 8.0%
<$50
<1%
$50-$60
1%
$60-$70
8%
$70-$80
8%
$80-$90
30%
$90-$100
63%
$100-$110
14%
$110-$120
7%
$120-$130
8%
$130-$140
1%
>$140
1%
$90-$100 63%
$80-$90 30%
$100-$110 14%
$70-$80 8.0%
<$50
<1%
$50-$60
1%
$60-$70
8%
$70-$80
8%
$80-$90
30%
$90-$100
63%
$100-$110
14%
$110-$120
7%
$120-$130
8%
$130-$140
1%
>$140
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Sumber Resolusi
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62.5% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) share price closing the week of April 27 in the $90-$100 range, reflecting stabilization around the current $92 level after a 10% post-earnings selloff on April 16. Despite Q1 revenue of $12.25 billion (up 16% year-over-year) and EPS of $1.23 beating estimates, shares plunged on weaker-than-expected Q2 guidance, unchanged full-year 2026 revenue growth outlook of 12-14%, and co-founder Reed Hastings' board departure, raising growth sustainability doubts amid maturing subscriber bases. A $25 billion share buyback announcement provides support, aligning with analyst consensus price targets averaging $115, though 32% odds on $80-$90 signal persistent downside risks absent new catalysts ahead of July earnings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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