Google's May 19 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive in June after the lighter 3.5 Flash debuted has set the near-term release window, with CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly directing attention to the following month. Traders assign the highest but still modest probabilities to mid-to-late June dates because Google typically follows staggered rollouts—starting with AI Ultra subscribers before wider API and app availability—while facing competitive pressure from rival frontier models. The dispersed odds across June reflect uncertainty over internal testing timelines, benchmark validation, and any last-minute adjustments typical in large language model launches, leaving room for the outcome to shift on official confirmation or delays.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiJune 24 11%
June 23 9%
June 11 8%
No release by June 30 7.1%
BARU
BARU
Jun 30, 2026
June 26
5%
June 13
2%
June 23
9%
June 24
11%
On or prior to June 2
1%
June 8
2%
June 10
3%
June 20
3%
June 3
1%
June 4
3%
June 5
3%
June 6
2%
June 15
2%
June 21
2%
June 25
3%
June 7
2%
June 9
5%
June 11
8%
June 12
7%
June 14
2%
June 16
7%
June 17
7%
June 18
7%
June 19
2%
June 30
6%
June 22
6%
June 27
2%
June 28
1%
June 29
4%
No release by June 30
7%
June 24 11%
June 23 9%
June 11 8%
No release by June 30 7.1%
BARU
BARU
Jun 30, 2026
June 26
$169 Vol.
5%
June 13
$307 Vol.
2%
June 23
$160 Vol.
9%
June 24
$159 Vol.
11%
On or prior to June 2
$177 Vol.
1%
June 8
$182 Vol.
2%
June 10
$271 Vol.
3%
June 20
$236 Vol.
3%
June 3
$167 Vol.
1%
June 4
$377 Vol.
3%
June 5
$282 Vol.
3%
June 6
$390 Vol.
2%
June 15
$135 Vol.
2%
June 21
$234 Vol.
2%
June 25
$222 Vol.
3%
June 7
$290 Vol.
2%
June 9
$133 Vol.
5%
June 11
$191 Vol.
8%
June 12
$220 Vol.
7%
June 14
$240 Vol.
2%
June 16
$215 Vol.
7%
June 17
$137 Vol.
7%
June 18
$188 Vol.
7%
June 19
$208 Vol.
2%
June 30
$142 Vol.
6%
June 22
$181 Vol.
6%
June 27
$227 Vol.
2%
June 28
$321 Vol.
1%
June 29
$137 Vol.
4%
No release by June 30
$536 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 19 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive in June after the lighter 3.5 Flash debuted has set the near-term release window, with CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly directing attention to the following month. Traders assign the highest but still modest probabilities to mid-to-late June dates because Google typically follows staggered rollouts—starting with AI Ultra subscribers before wider API and app availability—while facing competitive pressure from rival frontier models. The dispersed odds across June reflect uncertainty over internal testing timelines, benchmark validation, and any last-minute adjustments typical in large language model launches, leaving room for the outcome to shift on official confirmation or delays.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Volume
$6,792Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 19 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive in June after the lighter 3.5 Flash debuted has set the near-term release window, with CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly directing attention to the following month. Traders assign the highest but still modest probabilities to mid-to-late June dates because Google typically follows staggered rollouts—starting with AI Ultra subscribers before wider API and app availability—while facing competitive pressure from rival frontier models. The dispersed odds across June reflect uncertainty over internal testing timelines, benchmark validation, and any last-minute adjustments typical in large language model launches, leaving room for the outcome to shift on official confirmation or delays.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,792Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's May 19 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive in June after the lighter 3.5 Flash debuted has set the near-term release window, with CEO Sundar Pichai explicitly directing attention to the following month. Traders assign the highest but still modest probabilities to mid-to-late June dates because Google typically follows staggered rollouts—starting with AI Ultra subscribers before wider API and app availability—while facing competitive pressure from rival frontier models. The dispersed odds across June reflect uncertainty over internal testing timelines, benchmark validation, and any last-minute adjustments typical in large language model launches, leaving room for the outcome to shift on official confirmation or delays.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan