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Politik·Primer

CA-48 Primary Winners

icon for CA-48 Primary Winners
Politik·Primer

CA-48 Primary Winners

$7,117 Vol.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$7,117 Vol.

Polymarket

Marni von Wilpert

$875 Vol.

94%

Jim Desmond

$1,585 Vol.

98%

Ammar Campa-Najjar

$1,075 Vol.

48%

Corinna Contreras

$263 Vol.

20%

Mike Schaefer

$136 Vol.

6%

Brandon Riker

$674 Vol.

9%

Kevin O'Neil

$960 Vol.

3%

Abel Chavez

$337 Vol.

2%

Stephen Clemons

$173 Vol.

1%

Eric Shaw

$433 Vol.

1%

Luis Reyna

$299 Vol.

1%

Ferguson Porter

$312 Vol.

8%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California’s 48th Congressional District primary on June 2 featured an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired amid mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the district toward greater competitiveness. San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond secured the Republican endorsement and led early returns with roughly 42 percent of the vote, positioning him to advance. Among Democrats, San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert held a clear edge over former candidate Ammar Campa-Najjar and other contenders in partial results, with the top two vote-getters advancing to the November general regardless of party. Limited public polling prior to the primary showed Desmond ahead overall, while Democratic infighting centered on fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition in the San Diego-Riverside area district. Final certification and any remaining vote counts could confirm the exact pair advancing.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,117
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California’s 48th Congressional District primary on June 2 featured an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired amid mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the district toward greater competitiveness. San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond secured the Republican endorsement and led early returns with roughly 42 percent of the vote, positioning him to advance. Among Democrats, San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert held a clear edge over former candidate Ammar Campa-Najjar and other contenders in partial results, with the top two vote-getters advancing to the November general regardless of party. Limited public polling prior to the primary showed Desmond ahead overall, while Democratic infighting centered on fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition in the San Diego-Riverside area district. Final certification and any remaining vote counts could confirm the exact pair advancing.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,117
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"CA-48 Primary Winners" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 12 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jim Desmond" di 98%, diikuti oleh "Marni von Wilpert" di 94%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 98¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"CA-48 Primary Winners" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 22, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "CA-48 Primary Winners," jelajahi 12 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "CA-48 Primary Winners" adalah "Jim Desmond" di 98%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 98% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Marni von Wilpert" di 94%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "CA-48 Primary Winners" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.