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Pemilihan Umum·House Primary

CA-25 Primary Winners

icon for CA-25 Primary Winners
Pemilihan Umum·House Primary

CA-25 Primary Winners

BARU
Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

Joe Males

$0 Vol.

75%

Raul Ruiz

$0 Vol.

61%

Ceci Truman

$0 Vol.

49%

Ron Huffman

$0 Vol.

6%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 25th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz seeks reelection in California's 25th Congressional District, a safely Democratic seat with a strong partisan voting index favoring his party. He faces three Republican challengers—Hemet City Councilor Joe Males, Ronald Huffman, and Ceci Andrade Truman—in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. Campaigns center on cost of living, healthcare access, immigration enforcement, and economic policy. Ballot mailing began in early May, with early in-person voting underway since May 23 and registration closed May 18. The district's partisan lean and Ruiz's incumbency since 2012 position him as the frontrunner to advance, while the Republican field remains competitive for the second spot.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 25th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 25, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 25th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 25th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz seeks reelection in California's 25th Congressional District, a safely Democratic seat with a strong partisan voting index favoring his party. He faces three Republican challengers—Hemet City Councilor Joe Males, Ronald Huffman, and Ceci Andrade Truman—in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. Campaigns center on cost of living, healthcare access, immigration enforcement, and economic policy. Ballot mailing began in early May, with early in-person voting underway since May 23 and registration closed May 18. The district's partisan lean and Ruiz's incumbency since 2012 position him as the frontrunner to advance, while the Republican field remains competitive for the second spot.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 25th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 25, 2026, 4:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 25th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"CA-25 Primary Winners" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Joe Males" di 75%, diikuti oleh "Raul Ruiz" di 61%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 75¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 75% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"CA-25 Primary Winners" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada May 25, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "CA-25 Primary Winners," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "CA-25 Primary Winners" adalah "Joe Males" di 75%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 75% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Raul Ruiz" di 61%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "CA-25 Primary Winners" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.