California's 4th Congressional District holds its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, in a strongly Democratic seat redrawn under Proposition 50. Incumbent Mike Thompson, a longtime moderate Democrat and Army veteran, seeks reelection against Democratic challenger Eric Jones, a venture capitalist who has raised substantial funds and secured endorsements from progressive figures. Multiple Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, are also on the ballot and expected to split the smaller GOP vote share. Thompson's decades of incumbency and the district's partisan composition have positioned the two Democrats as the frontrunners to advance, with no major late developments altering the field since the March filing deadline. The primary outcome will determine the general election matchup in November.
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CA-04 Primary Winners
$35,838 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
Mike Thompson
93%
Eric Jones
92%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
John Wesley Tyler
2%
Heath Fulkerson
2%
Trevor Merrell
1%
Sharon Brown
<1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$35,838 Vol.
Mike Thompson
$7,406 Vol.
93%
Eric Jones
$6,527 Vol.
92%
Laurie MacKenzie
$716 Vol.
4%
John Wesley Tyler
$1,794 Vol.
2%
Heath Fulkerson
$1,702 Vol.
2%
Trevor Merrell
$10,817 Vol.
1%
Sharon Brown
$3,994 Vol.
<1%
Mandy Ghusar
$2,890 Vol.
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 4th Congressional District holds its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, in a strongly Democratic seat redrawn under Proposition 50. Incumbent Mike Thompson, a longtime moderate Democrat and Army veteran, seeks reelection against Democratic challenger Eric Jones, a venture capitalist who has raised substantial funds and secured endorsements from progressive figures. Multiple Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, are also on the ballot and expected to split the smaller GOP vote share. Thompson's decades of incumbency and the district's partisan composition have positioned the two Democrats as the frontrunners to advance, with no major late developments altering the field since the March filing deadline. The primary outcome will determine the general election matchup in November.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Volume
$35,838Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 4th Congressional District holds its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, in a strongly Democratic seat redrawn under Proposition 50. Incumbent Mike Thompson, a longtime moderate Democrat and Army veteran, seeks reelection against Democratic challenger Eric Jones, a venture capitalist who has raised substantial funds and secured endorsements from progressive figures. Multiple Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, are also on the ballot and expected to split the smaller GOP vote share. Thompson's decades of incumbency and the district's partisan composition have positioned the two Democrats as the frontrunners to advance, with no major late developments altering the field since the March filing deadline. The primary outcome will determine the general election matchup in November.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$35,838Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California's 4th Congressional District holds its top-two primary on June 2, 2026, in a strongly Democratic seat redrawn under Proposition 50. Incumbent Mike Thompson, a longtime moderate Democrat and Army veteran, seeks reelection against Democratic challenger Eric Jones, a venture capitalist who has raised substantial funds and secured endorsements from progressive figures. Multiple Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, are also on the ballot and expected to split the smaller GOP vote share. Thompson's decades of incumbency and the district's partisan composition have positioned the two Democrats as the frontrunners to advance, with no major late developments altering the field since the March filing deadline. The primary outcome will determine the general election matchup in November.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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