OPEC maintains active institutional operations through September 2026, with core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman holding regular meetings to set October production levels and prepare 2027 quotas amid ongoing coordination on voluntary cuts. Recent member exits, such as the UAE's departure in May and reported deliberations by Venezuela, have reduced capacity but align with historical patterns of withdrawals without triggering formal dissolution, as the organization continues issuing statements and reviewing market conditions. Traders assign a 96.2% probability to "No" because these coordinated actions and structural continuity demonstrate resilience against internal quota disputes or external pressures like the Iran conflict's impact on exports. Scenarios that could still shift odds include coordinated withdrawals by additional members exceeding half the roster or an official agreement to disband before year-end, though neither appears imminent based on current diplomatic and production patterns.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
4% संभावना
$38,745 वॉल्यूम
$38,745 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
4% संभावना
$38,745 वॉल्यूम
$38,745 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC maintains active institutional operations through September 2026, with core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman holding regular meetings to set October production levels and prepare 2027 quotas amid ongoing coordination on voluntary cuts. Recent member exits, such as the UAE's departure in May and reported deliberations by Venezuela, have reduced capacity but align with historical patterns of withdrawals without triggering formal dissolution, as the organization continues issuing statements and reviewing market conditions. Traders assign a 96.2% probability to "No" because these coordinated actions and structural continuity demonstrate resilience against internal quota disputes or external pressures like the Iran conflict's impact on exports. Scenarios that could still shift odds include coordinated withdrawals by additional members exceeding half the roster or an official agreement to disband before year-end, though neither appears imminent based on current diplomatic and production patterns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$38,745समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC maintains active institutional operations through September 2026, with core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman holding regular meetings to set October production levels and prepare 2027 quotas amid ongoing coordination on voluntary cuts. Recent member exits, such as the UAE's departure in May and reported deliberations by Venezuela, have reduced capacity but align with historical patterns of withdrawals without triggering formal dissolution, as the organization continues issuing statements and reviewing market conditions. Traders assign a 96.2% probability to "No" because these coordinated actions and structural continuity demonstrate resilience against internal quota disputes or external pressures like the Iran conflict's impact on exports. Scenarios that could still shift odds include coordinated withdrawals by additional members exceeding half the roster or an official agreement to disband before year-end, though neither appears imminent based on current diplomatic and production patterns.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$38,745समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...OPEC maintains active institutional operations through September 2026, with core OPEC+ members including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman holding regular meetings to set October production levels and prepare 2027 quotas amid ongoing coordination on voluntary cuts. Recent member exits, such as the UAE's departure in May and reported deliberations by Venezuela, have reduced capacity but align with historical patterns of withdrawals without triggering formal dissolution, as the organization continues issuing statements and reviewing market conditions. Traders assign a 96.2% probability to "No" because these coordinated actions and structural continuity demonstrate resilience against internal quota disputes or external pressures like the Iran conflict's impact on exports. Scenarios that could still shift odds include coordinated withdrawals by additional members exceeding half the roster or an official agreement to disband before year-end, though neither appears imminent based on current diplomatic and production patterns.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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