Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 6,000-6,500 US flights delayed on April 6 at 60.4% implied probability, with 6,500-7,000 at 40%, reflecting historical discrepancies where final DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics counts exceed preliminary FlightAware trackers by 20-40% due to comprehensive reporting of 15+ minute delays across domestic operations. Real-time data showed about 4,700 delays amid Easter Monday's record 2.7 million TSA-screened passengers, lingering severe weather disruptions from April 2-4 storms, and Day 51 of the partial DHS shutdown, which prompted over 500 TSA resignations and extended security checkpoint waits. Final DOT data, expected late April, will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$19,331 वॉल्यूम
$19,331 वॉल्यूम
6 अप्रैल, 2026
6,000-6,500
60%
6,500-7,000
40%
$19,331 वॉल्यूम
$19,331 वॉल्यूम
6 अप्रैल, 2026
6,000-6,500
$7,737 वॉल्यूम
60%
6,500-7,000
$6,019 वॉल्यूम
40%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 6,000-6,500 US flights delayed on April 6 at 60.4% implied probability, with 6,500-7,000 at 40%, reflecting historical discrepancies where final DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics counts exceed preliminary FlightAware trackers by 20-40% due to comprehensive reporting of 15+ minute delays across domestic operations. Real-time data showed about 4,700 delays amid Easter Monday's record 2.7 million TSA-screened passengers, lingering severe weather disruptions from April 2-4 storms, and Day 51 of the partial DHS shutdown, which prompted over 500 TSA resignations and extended security checkpoint waits. Final DOT data, expected late April, will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,331समाप्ति तिथि
6 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 6,000-6,500 US flights delayed on April 6 at 60.4% implied probability, with 6,500-7,000 at 40%, reflecting historical discrepancies where final DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics counts exceed preliminary FlightAware trackers by 20-40% due to comprehensive reporting of 15+ minute delays across domestic operations. Real-time data showed about 4,700 delays amid Easter Monday's record 2.7 million TSA-screened passengers, lingering severe weather disruptions from April 2-4 storms, and Day 51 of the partial DHS shutdown, which prompted over 500 TSA resignations and extended security checkpoint waits. Final DOT data, expected late April, will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$19,331समाप्ति तिथि
6 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 6,000-6,500 US flights delayed on April 6 at 60.4% implied probability, with 6,500-7,000 at 40%, reflecting historical discrepancies where final DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics counts exceed preliminary FlightAware trackers by 20-40% due to comprehensive reporting of 15+ minute delays across domestic operations. Real-time data showed about 4,700 delays amid Easter Monday's record 2.7 million TSA-screened passengers, lingering severe weather disruptions from April 2-4 storms, and Day 51 of the partial DHS shutdown, which prompted over 500 TSA resignations and extended security checkpoint waits. Final DOT data, expected late April, will resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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