Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for re-election in New Hampshire's two-year gubernatorial term contest, buoyed by consistent polling advantages over Democratic challengers Cinde Warmington and Jon Kiper following her nine-point 2024 victory. A mid-March Saint Anselm College survey of registered voters showed Ayotte ahead 46%-39% against Warmington and 47%-37% against Kiper, while earlier University of New Hampshire polls in January reflected double-digit edges amid mixed approval ratings that dipped to net negative in February. Warmington's February campaign launch has not closed the gap, underscoring Ayotte's incumbency edge in this swing state. Primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3 loom as key tests amid competitive Democratic primary dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican
75%
Democrat
23%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican
$2,488 वॉल्यूम
75%
Democrat
$3,079 वॉल्यूम
23%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for re-election in New Hampshire's two-year gubernatorial term contest, buoyed by consistent polling advantages over Democratic challengers Cinde Warmington and Jon Kiper following her nine-point 2024 victory. A mid-March Saint Anselm College survey of registered voters showed Ayotte ahead 46%-39% against Warmington and 47%-37% against Kiper, while earlier University of New Hampshire polls in January reflected double-digit edges amid mixed approval ratings that dipped to net negative in February. Warmington's February campaign launch has not closed the gap, underscoring Ayotte's incumbency edge in this swing state. Primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3 loom as key tests amid competitive Democratic primary dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,568समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for re-election in New Hampshire's two-year gubernatorial term contest, buoyed by consistent polling advantages over Democratic challengers Cinde Warmington and Jon Kiper following her nine-point 2024 victory. A mid-March Saint Anselm College survey of registered voters showed Ayotte ahead 46%-39% against Warmington and 47%-37% against Kiper, while earlier University of New Hampshire polls in January reflected double-digit edges amid mixed approval ratings that dipped to net negative in February. Warmington's February campaign launch has not closed the gap, underscoring Ayotte's incumbency edge in this swing state. Primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3 loom as key tests amid competitive Democratic primary dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$5,568समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for re-election in New Hampshire's two-year gubernatorial term contest, buoyed by consistent polling advantages over Democratic challengers Cinde Warmington and Jon Kiper following her nine-point 2024 victory. A mid-March Saint Anselm College survey of registered voters showed Ayotte ahead 46%-39% against Warmington and 47%-37% against Kiper, while earlier University of New Hampshire polls in January reflected double-digit edges amid mixed approval ratings that dipped to net negative in February. Warmington's February campaign launch has not closed the gap, underscoring Ayotte's incumbency edge in this swing state. Primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3 loom as key tests amid competitive Democratic primary dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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