Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, captured by US forces in January 2026 and extradited to New York, faces a multi-count federal indictment from the Southern District including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and firearms offenses; he and co-defendant wife Cilia Flores have pleaded not guilty while detained in Brooklyn. A federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss charges during March 26–30 hearings, citing insufficient grounds despite claims of head-of-state immunity and politically motivated sanctions. Trader consensus implying 77.5% "No" probability stems from the narcoterrorism law's limited trial success—31 of prior cases ended in guilty pleas to lesser charges—protracted pre-trial disputes, and low historical conviction rates on all counts, with trial potentially delayed into 2027 amid evidentiary challenges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$101,438 वॉल्यूम
$101,438 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
हाँ
$101,438 वॉल्यूम
$101,438 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, captured by US forces in January 2026 and extradited to New York, faces a multi-count federal indictment from the Southern District including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and firearms offenses; he and co-defendant wife Cilia Flores have pleaded not guilty while detained in Brooklyn. A federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss charges during March 26–30 hearings, citing insufficient grounds despite claims of head-of-state immunity and politically motivated sanctions. Trader consensus implying 77.5% "No" probability stems from the narcoterrorism law's limited trial success—31 of prior cases ended in guilty pleas to lesser charges—protracted pre-trial disputes, and low historical conviction rates on all counts, with trial potentially delayed into 2027 amid evidentiary challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$101,438समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, captured by US forces in January 2026 and extradited to New York, faces a multi-count federal indictment from the Southern District including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and firearms offenses; he and co-defendant wife Cilia Flores have pleaded not guilty while detained in Brooklyn. A federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss charges during March 26–30 hearings, citing insufficient grounds despite claims of head-of-state immunity and politically motivated sanctions. Trader consensus implying 77.5% "No" probability stems from the narcoterrorism law's limited trial success—31 of prior cases ended in guilty pleas to lesser charges—protracted pre-trial disputes, and low historical conviction rates on all counts, with trial potentially delayed into 2027 amid evidentiary challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$101,438समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, captured by US forces in January 2026 and extradited to New York, faces a multi-count federal indictment from the Southern District including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and firearms offenses; he and co-defendant wife Cilia Flores have pleaded not guilty while detained in Brooklyn. A federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss charges during March 26–30 hearings, citing insufficient grounds despite claims of head-of-state immunity and politically motivated sanctions. Trader consensus implying 77.5% "No" probability stems from the narcoterrorism law's limited trial success—31 of prior cases ended in guilty pleas to lesser charges—protracted pre-trial disputes, and low historical conviction rates on all counts, with trial potentially delayed into 2027 amid evidentiary challenges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न