US-Iran negotiations stalled after inconclusive direct talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, where envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff led the US side without reported participation from principals like President Donald Trump, Vice President J.D. Vance, or Secretary of State Marco Rubio, failing to resolve disputes over nuclear enrichment curbs and Strait of Hormuz access amid a US naval blockade. President Trump canceled planned follow-up envoy trips, while Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi pursued diplomacy in Moscow on April 27-28, blaming US inflexibility. No qualifying in-person diplomatic meetings—requiring physical presence and public acknowledgment—occurred between listed US figures and Iranian representatives by the April 30 deadline, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on negative outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$1,955,738 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प
नहीं
जे.डी. वेंस
नहीं
मार्को रुबियो
नहीं
जारेड कुशनर
नहीं
स्टीव विटकॉफ़
नहीं
$1,955,738 वॉल्यूम
डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प
$740,530 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
जे.डी. वेंस
$687,128 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
मार्को रुबियो
$65,584 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
जारेड कुशनर
$243,838 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
स्टीव विटकॉफ़
$218,658 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran negotiations stalled after inconclusive direct talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, where envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff led the US side without reported participation from principals like President Donald Trump, Vice President J.D. Vance, or Secretary of State Marco Rubio, failing to resolve disputes over nuclear enrichment curbs and Strait of Hormuz access amid a US naval blockade. President Trump canceled planned follow-up envoy trips, while Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi pursued diplomacy in Moscow on April 27-28, blaming US inflexibility. No qualifying in-person diplomatic meetings—requiring physical presence and public acknowledgment—occurred between listed US figures and Iranian representatives by the April 30 deadline, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on negative outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,955,738समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran negotiations stalled after inconclusive direct talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, where envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff led the US side without reported participation from principals like President Donald Trump, Vice President J.D. Vance, or Secretary of State Marco Rubio, failing to resolve disputes over nuclear enrichment curbs and Strait of Hormuz access amid a US naval blockade. President Trump canceled planned follow-up envoy trips, while Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi pursued diplomacy in Moscow on April 27-28, blaming US inflexibility. No qualifying in-person diplomatic meetings—requiring physical presence and public acknowledgment—occurred between listed US figures and Iranian representatives by the April 30 deadline, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on negative outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$1,955,738समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
US-Iran negotiations stalled after inconclusive direct talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, where envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff led the US side without reported participation from principals like President Donald Trump, Vice President J.D. Vance, or Secretary of State Marco Rubio, failing to resolve disputes over nuclear enrichment curbs and Strait of Hormuz access amid a US naval blockade. President Trump canceled planned follow-up envoy trips, while Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi pursued diplomacy in Moscow on April 27-28, blaming US inflexibility. No qualifying in-person diplomatic meetings—requiring physical presence and public acknowledgment—occurred between listed US figures and Iranian representatives by the April 30 deadline, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on negative outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न