With around 20-21 Democratic House incumbents having announced they will not seek re-election in the 2026 midterms—matching a record congressional turnover wave driven by aging leadership exits like Reps. Steny Hoyer and Nancy Pelosi earlier this year—trader consensus favors 24-27 total non-runners at 30%, closely trailed by 28-31 at 23.5%. The tight clustering reflects a slowdown in announcements since January, tempered by historical midterm patterns where president's party incumbents in swing districts or facing primaries often bow out later, plus mid-decade redistricting pressures in key states. Separation could arise from waves of retirements in battleground seats or high-profile runs for Senate/governor, ahead of state filing deadlines starting late 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24–27 30%
28–31 22%
20–23 16.8%
32–35 13.4%
$27,927 वॉल्यूम
$27,927 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
<20
3%
20–23
17%
24–27
30%
28–31
22%
32–35
13%
36–39
6%
40+
6%
24–27 30%
28–31 22%
20–23 16.8%
32–35 13.4%
$27,927 वॉल्यूम
$27,927 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
<20
$15,389 वॉल्यूम
3%
20–23
$4,825 वॉल्यूम
17%
24–27
$3,407 वॉल्यूम
30%
28–31
$1,164 वॉल्यूम
22%
32–35
$3,142 वॉल्यूम
13%
36–39
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
40+
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.With around 20-21 Democratic House incumbents having announced they will not seek re-election in the 2026 midterms—matching a record congressional turnover wave driven by aging leadership exits like Reps. Steny Hoyer and Nancy Pelosi earlier this year—trader consensus favors 24-27 total non-runners at 30%, closely trailed by 28-31 at 23.5%. The tight clustering reflects a slowdown in announcements since January, tempered by historical midterm patterns where president's party incumbents in swing districts or facing primaries often bow out later, plus mid-decade redistricting pressures in key states. Separation could arise from waves of retirements in battleground seats or high-profile runs for Senate/governor, ahead of state filing deadlines starting late 2026.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,927समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.With around 20-21 Democratic House incumbents having announced they will not seek re-election in the 2026 midterms—matching a record congressional turnover wave driven by aging leadership exits like Reps. Steny Hoyer and Nancy Pelosi earlier this year—trader consensus favors 24-27 total non-runners at 30%, closely trailed by 28-31 at 23.5%. The tight clustering reflects a slowdown in announcements since January, tempered by historical midterm patterns where president's party incumbents in swing districts or facing primaries often bow out later, plus mid-decade redistricting pressures in key states. Separation could arise from waves of retirements in battleground seats or high-profile runs for Senate/governor, ahead of state filing deadlines starting late 2026.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$27,927समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With around 20-21 Democratic House incumbents having announced they will not seek re-election in the 2026 midterms—matching a record congressional turnover wave driven by aging leadership exits like Reps. Steny Hoyer and Nancy Pelosi earlier this year—trader consensus favors 24-27 total non-runners at 30%, closely trailed by 28-31 at 23.5%. The tight clustering reflects a slowdown in announcements since January, tempered by historical midterm patterns where president's party incumbents in swing districts or facing primaries often bow out later, plus mid-decade redistricting pressures in key states. Separation could arise from waves of retirements in battleground seats or high-profile runs for Senate/governor, ahead of state filing deadlines starting late 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न