$177,242 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2025
September 30
Yes
December 31
Yes
$177,242 वॉल्यूम
September 30
$139,445 वॉल्यूम
Yes
December 31
$37,797 वॉल्यूम
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 2, 2025, 6:14 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$177,242समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
Jun 2, 2025, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes
विवादित
परिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes
विवादित
अंतिम परिणाम: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$177,242समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025बाज़ार खुला
Jun 2, 2025, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes
विवादित
परिणाम प्रस्तावित: Yes
विवादित
अंतिम परिणाम: Yes
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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