Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in Florida's 2026 special Senate election due to the state's partisan lean, her statewide profile as former attorney general, and consistent double-digit leads in recent University of North Florida polling against Democratic primary contenders Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon. Moody leads hypothetical general-election matchups by 8–10 points as of July surveys, aligning with Solid or Likely Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The August 18 Democratic primary and November 3 general election occur in a state where Republicans have won recent statewide contests by comfortable margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns an 88.5% implied probability to a Republican victory, driven by these structural and polling factors rather than any single late-breaking event.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$64,843 वॉल्यूम
$64,843 वॉल्यूम
रिपब्लिकन
89%
डेमोक्रेट
11%
$64,843 वॉल्यूम
$64,843 वॉल्यूम
रिपब्लिकन
$36,653 वॉल्यूम
89%
डेमोक्रेट
$28,190 वॉल्यूम
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in Florida's 2026 special Senate election due to the state's partisan lean, her statewide profile as former attorney general, and consistent double-digit leads in recent University of North Florida polling against Democratic primary contenders Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon. Moody leads hypothetical general-election matchups by 8–10 points as of July surveys, aligning with Solid or Likely Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The August 18 Democratic primary and November 3 general election occur in a state where Republicans have won recent statewide contests by comfortable margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns an 88.5% implied probability to a Republican victory, driven by these structural and polling factors rather than any single late-breaking event.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$64,843बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in Florida's 2026 special Senate election due to the state's partisan lean, her statewide profile as former attorney general, and consistent double-digit leads in recent University of North Florida polling against Democratic primary contenders Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon. Moody leads hypothetical general-election matchups by 8–10 points as of July surveys, aligning with Solid or Likely Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The August 18 Democratic primary and November 3 general election occur in a state where Republicans have won recent statewide contests by comfortable margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns an 88.5% implied probability to a Republican victory, driven by these structural and polling factors rather than any single late-breaking event.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$64,843बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in Florida's 2026 special Senate election due to the state's partisan lean, her statewide profile as former attorney general, and consistent double-digit leads in recent University of North Florida polling against Democratic primary contenders Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon. Moody leads hypothetical general-election matchups by 8–10 points as of July surveys, aligning with Solid or Likely Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The August 18 Democratic primary and November 3 general election occur in a state where Republicans have won recent statewide contests by comfortable margins. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns an 88.5% implied probability to a Republican victory, driven by these structural and polling factors rather than any single late-breaking event.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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