Elevated euro-area inflation, which hit 3.0% in April 2026 amid Middle East energy price shocks, underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability of a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting from the current 2.00% level. Recent Governing Council communications and April minutes highlight upside risks to price stability and the need for tightening to curb second-round effects, consistent with economist surveys projecting quarter-point moves in June and September. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects persistent inflationary pressures outweighing growth concerns following the April hold. A rapid de-escalation easing energy costs or incoming data confirming faster disinflation alongside sharper contraction could still shift the outlook before the decision.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाECB Interest Rates: June 2026
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026
25 bps Increase 95%
No change 4.0%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$504,497 वॉल्यूम
$504,497 वॉल्यूम
11 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
4%
25 bps Increase
95%
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps Increase 95%
No change 4.0%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$504,497 वॉल्यूम
$504,497 वॉल्यूम
11 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$99,237 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 bps decrease
$102,854 वॉल्यूम
<1%
No change
$100,963 वॉल्यूम
4%
25 bps Increase
$117,422 वॉल्यूम
95%
50+ bps increase
$84,032 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Elevated euro-area inflation, which hit 3.0% in April 2026 amid Middle East energy price shocks, underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability of a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting from the current 2.00% level. Recent Governing Council communications and April minutes highlight upside risks to price stability and the need for tightening to curb second-round effects, consistent with economist surveys projecting quarter-point moves in June and September. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects persistent inflationary pressures outweighing growth concerns following the April hold. A rapid de-escalation easing energy costs or incoming data confirming faster disinflation alongside sharper contraction could still shift the outlook before the decision.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$504,497समाप्ति तिथि
11 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Elevated euro-area inflation, which hit 3.0% in April 2026 amid Middle East energy price shocks, underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability of a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting from the current 2.00% level. Recent Governing Council communications and April minutes highlight upside risks to price stability and the need for tightening to curb second-round effects, consistent with economist surveys projecting quarter-point moves in June and September. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects persistent inflationary pressures outweighing growth concerns following the April hold. A rapid de-escalation easing energy costs or incoming data confirming faster disinflation alongside sharper contraction could still shift the outlook before the decision.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$504,497समाप्ति तिथि
11 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated euro-area inflation, which hit 3.0% in April 2026 amid Middle East energy price shocks, underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability of a 25 basis point ECB deposit facility rate hike at the June 11 meeting from the current 2.00% level. Recent Governing Council communications and April minutes highlight upside risks to price stability and the need for tightening to curb second-round effects, consistent with economist surveys projecting quarter-point moves in June and September. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects persistent inflationary pressures outweighing growth concerns following the April hold. A rapid de-escalation easing energy costs or incoming data confirming faster disinflation alongside sharper contraction could still shift the outlook before the decision.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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