Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp energy price increases, elevating euro-area headline inflation expectations for 2026 and prompting the ECB to hold its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% following the April 2026 meeting while signaling data-dependent readiness for tightening. This environment underpins the 98% market-implied probability of a 25 basis point hike at the June 11, 2026, decision, consistent with economist surveys assigning roughly 85% odds to the move amid resilient labor markets and risks of second-round effects. Softer-than-expected inflation prints or a rapid conflict de-escalation that lowers energy costs could still support an unchanged policy stance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाECB Interest Rates: June 2026
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026
25 bps Increase 98.0%
No change 1.8%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$699,803 वॉल्यूम
$699,803 वॉल्यूम
11 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
2%
25 bps Increase
98%
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps Increase 98.0%
No change 1.8%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$699,803 वॉल्यूम
$699,803 वॉल्यूम
11 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$104,106 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 bps decrease
$116,083 वॉल्यूम
<1%
No change
$158,583 वॉल्यूम
2%
25 bps Increase
$163,520 वॉल्यूम
98%
50+ bps increase
$157,511 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp energy price increases, elevating euro-area headline inflation expectations for 2026 and prompting the ECB to hold its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% following the April 2026 meeting while signaling data-dependent readiness for tightening. This environment underpins the 98% market-implied probability of a 25 basis point hike at the June 11, 2026, decision, consistent with economist surveys assigning roughly 85% odds to the move amid resilient labor markets and risks of second-round effects. Softer-than-expected inflation prints or a rapid conflict de-escalation that lowers energy costs could still support an unchanged policy stance.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$699,803समाप्ति तिथि
11 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp energy price increases, elevating euro-area headline inflation expectations for 2026 and prompting the ECB to hold its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% following the April 2026 meeting while signaling data-dependent readiness for tightening. This environment underpins the 98% market-implied probability of a 25 basis point hike at the June 11, 2026, decision, consistent with economist surveys assigning roughly 85% odds to the move amid resilient labor markets and risks of second-round effects. Softer-than-expected inflation prints or a rapid conflict de-escalation that lowers energy costs could still support an unchanged policy stance.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$699,803समाप्ति तिथि
11 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp energy price increases, elevating euro-area headline inflation expectations for 2026 and prompting the ECB to hold its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% following the April 2026 meeting while signaling data-dependent readiness for tightening. This environment underpins the 98% market-implied probability of a 25 basis point hike at the June 11, 2026, decision, consistent with economist surveys assigning roughly 85% odds to the move amid resilient labor markets and risks of second-round effects. Softer-than-expected inflation prints or a rapid conflict de-escalation that lowers energy costs could still support an unchanged policy stance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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