Persistent geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and effective Strait of Hormuz closure have driven the market-implied 64% probability that June WTI crude settles above $84. These shocks triggered 10.5 million barrels per day of Middle East shut-ins in April and EIA-projected global inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, supporting Brent averages near $106 per barrel through June. Current WTI futures trade around $96–100, reflecting the sustained risk premium despite softer 2026 demand growth forecasts and mixed diplomatic signals on reopening timelines. Upcoming catalysts include potential late-May Hormuz traffic resumption, June EIA inventory data, and OPEC+ meetings, which could ease or extend the current backwardation and price elevation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्रूड ऑयल (CL) जून में किस पर तय होगा?
क्रूड ऑयल (CL) जून में किस पर तय होगा?
>$84 से अधिक 64%
$77-$84 20%
$70-$77 12.3%
$63-$70 3.1%
$199,057 वॉल्यूम
$199,057 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
3%
$70-$77
12%
$77-$84
20%
>$84 से अधिक
64%
>$84 से अधिक 64%
$77-$84 20%
$70-$77 12.3%
$63-$70 3.1%
$199,057 वॉल्यूम
$199,057 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
<$42
$20,391 वॉल्यूम
<1%
$42-$49
$9,604 वॉल्यूम
<1%
$49-$56
$11,401 वॉल्यूम
1%
$56-$63
$12,002 वॉल्यूम
1%
$63-$70
$26,783 वॉल्यूम
3%
$70-$77
$16,189 वॉल्यूम
12%
$77-$84
$16,841 वॉल्यूम
20%
>$84 से अधिक
$85,847 वॉल्यूम
64%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Persistent geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and effective Strait of Hormuz closure have driven the market-implied 64% probability that June WTI crude settles above $84. These shocks triggered 10.5 million barrels per day of Middle East shut-ins in April and EIA-projected global inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, supporting Brent averages near $106 per barrel through June. Current WTI futures trade around $96–100, reflecting the sustained risk premium despite softer 2026 demand growth forecasts and mixed diplomatic signals on reopening timelines. Upcoming catalysts include potential late-May Hormuz traffic resumption, June EIA inventory data, and OPEC+ meetings, which could ease or extend the current backwardation and price elevation.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$199,057समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Persistent geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and effective Strait of Hormuz closure have driven the market-implied 64% probability that June WTI crude settles above $84. These shocks triggered 10.5 million barrels per day of Middle East shut-ins in April and EIA-projected global inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, supporting Brent averages near $106 per barrel through June. Current WTI futures trade around $96–100, reflecting the sustained risk premium despite softer 2026 demand growth forecasts and mixed diplomatic signals on reopening timelines. Upcoming catalysts include potential late-May Hormuz traffic resumption, June EIA inventory data, and OPEC+ meetings, which could ease or extend the current backwardation and price elevation.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
वॉल्यूम
$199,057समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETPersistent geopolitical supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict and effective Strait of Hormuz closure have driven the market-implied 64% probability that June WTI crude settles above $84. These shocks triggered 10.5 million barrels per day of Middle East shut-ins in April and EIA-projected global inventory draws of 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, supporting Brent averages near $106 per barrel through June. Current WTI futures trade around $96–100, reflecting the sustained risk premium despite softer 2026 demand growth forecasts and mixed diplomatic signals on reopening timelines. Upcoming catalysts include potential late-May Hormuz traffic resumption, June EIA inventory data, and OPEC+ meetings, which could ease or extend the current backwardation and price elevation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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