Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60.5% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting front-month futures trading near $96/bbl amid persistent geopolitical premiums from Middle East tensions and Russia-Ukraine risks. Recent EIA data for the week ended May 1 revealed a 2.3 million barrel crude inventory draw—smaller than the anticipated 3.3 million—while OPEC+ maintains production cuts of over 5 million b/d, supporting supply tightness. Moderating U.S. inflation and stabilizing job market data fuel Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, bolstering demand outlook from key consumers like China. Upcoming EIA weekly report on May 8 and FOMC minutes could catalyze shifts, with lower bins like $77-$84 at 18% pricing contested downside risks from softer demand.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्रूड ऑयल (CL) जून में किस पर तय होगा?
क्रूड ऑयल (CL) जून में किस पर तय होगा?
>$84 से अधिक 61%
$77-$84 18%
$70-$77 5.1%
$63-$70 4.9%
$155,909 वॉल्यूम
$155,909 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
<$42
2%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
3%
$63-$70
5%
$70-$77
5%
$77-$84
18%
>$84 से अधिक
61%
>$84 से अधिक 61%
$77-$84 18%
$70-$77 5.1%
$63-$70 4.9%
$155,909 वॉल्यूम
$155,909 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
<$42
$17,066 वॉल्यूम
2%
$42-$49
$5,793 वॉल्यूम
1%
$49-$56
$6,972 वॉल्यूम
2%
$56-$63
$6,398 वॉल्यूम
3%
$63-$70
$20,131 वॉल्यूम
5%
$70-$77
$11,693 वॉल्यूम
5%
$77-$84
$12,804 वॉल्यूम
18%
>$84 से अधिक
$75,052 वॉल्यूम
61%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60.5% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting front-month futures trading near $96/bbl amid persistent geopolitical premiums from Middle East tensions and Russia-Ukraine risks. Recent EIA data for the week ended May 1 revealed a 2.3 million barrel crude inventory draw—smaller than the anticipated 3.3 million—while OPEC+ maintains production cuts of over 5 million b/d, supporting supply tightness. Moderating U.S. inflation and stabilizing job market data fuel Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, bolstering demand outlook from key consumers like China. Upcoming EIA weekly report on May 8 and FOMC minutes could catalyze shifts, with lower bins like $77-$84 at 18% pricing contested downside risks from softer demand.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$155,909समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60.5% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting front-month futures trading near $96/bbl amid persistent geopolitical premiums from Middle East tensions and Russia-Ukraine risks. Recent EIA data for the week ended May 1 revealed a 2.3 million barrel crude inventory draw—smaller than the anticipated 3.3 million—while OPEC+ maintains production cuts of over 5 million b/d, supporting supply tightness. Moderating U.S. inflation and stabilizing job market data fuel Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, bolstering demand outlook from key consumers like China. Upcoming EIA weekly report on May 8 and FOMC minutes could catalyze shifts, with lower bins like $77-$84 at 18% pricing contested downside risks from softer demand.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
वॉल्यूम
$155,909समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60.5% implied probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting front-month futures trading near $96/bbl amid persistent geopolitical premiums from Middle East tensions and Russia-Ukraine risks. Recent EIA data for the week ended May 1 revealed a 2.3 million barrel crude inventory draw—smaller than the anticipated 3.3 million—while OPEC+ maintains production cuts of over 5 million b/d, supporting supply tightness. Moderating U.S. inflation and stabilizing job market data fuel Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, bolstering demand outlook from key consumers like China. Upcoming EIA weekly report on May 8 and FOMC minutes could catalyze shifts, with lower bins like $77-$84 at 18% pricing contested downside risks from softer demand.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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