Geopolitical supply disruptions tied to Middle East tensions, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated production shut-ins averaging over 10 million barrels per day in April and May, remain the dominant driver supporting elevated crude oil prices. WTI futures have traded near $90–93 per barrel in late May after peaking above $100 earlier in the quarter amid those constraints, with global inventories drawing sharply in the second quarter. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that flows may gradually resume in June, potentially easing upward pressure as Middle East output recovers and U.S. crude stocks continue to build. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, OPEC+ production decisions, and any progress toward de-escalation that could influence the pace of supply normalization by month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या क्रूड ऑयल (CL) जून के अंत तक __ तक पहुंच जाएगा?
$20,115,450 वॉल्यूम
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
3%
↑ $150
5%
↑ $140
8%
↑ $130
9%
↑ $120
16%
↑ $115
23%
↑ $110
30%
↑ $105
41%
↓ $90
100%
↓ $85
72%
↓ $80
56%
↓ $70
15%
↓ $60
8%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
<1%
$20,115,450 वॉल्यूम
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
3%
↑ $150
5%
↑ $140
8%
↑ $130
9%
↑ $120
16%
↑ $115
23%
↑ $110
30%
↑ $105
41%
↓ $90
100%
↓ $85
72%
↓ $80
56%
↓ $70
15%
↓ $60
8%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Geopolitical supply disruptions tied to Middle East tensions, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated production shut-ins averaging over 10 million barrels per day in April and May, remain the dominant driver supporting elevated crude oil prices. WTI futures have traded near $90–93 per barrel in late May after peaking above $100 earlier in the quarter amid those constraints, with global inventories drawing sharply in the second quarter. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that flows may gradually resume in June, potentially easing upward pressure as Middle East output recovers and U.S. crude stocks continue to build. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory reports, OPEC+ production decisions, and any progress toward de-escalation that could influence the pace of supply normalization by month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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