Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin 51% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target rate at the May 7 meeting, edging out a 48.5% chance of a 25 basis point decrease from the current 6.75%, with hikes at just 1.8%. This tight contest stems from March 26's dovish surprise cut—resuming easing in a split 3-2 vote despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year and core measures at 4.45%, both above the 3% target midpoint. Resilient labor markets (2.6% unemployment) and modest GDP growth projections support further easing, but persistent price pressures favor a pause. April CPI data, due early May, represents the pivotal swing factor ahead of the decision.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामई में बैंक ऑफ़ मैक्सिको का फ़ैसला
मई में बैंक ऑफ़ मैक्सिको का फ़ैसला
कोई बदलाव नहीं 52%
कटौती 48%
वृद्धि 1.7%
$72,859 वॉल्यूम
$72,859 वॉल्यूम
7 मई, 2026
कटौती
48%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
52%
वृद्धि
2%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 52%
कटौती 48%
वृद्धि 1.7%
$72,859 वॉल्यूम
$72,859 वॉल्यूम
7 मई, 2026
कटौती
$26,069 वॉल्यूम
48%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$22,641 वॉल्यूम
52%
वृद्धि
$24,149 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin 51% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target rate at the May 7 meeting, edging out a 48.5% chance of a 25 basis point decrease from the current 6.75%, with hikes at just 1.8%. This tight contest stems from March 26's dovish surprise cut—resuming easing in a split 3-2 vote despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year and core measures at 4.45%, both above the 3% target midpoint. Resilient labor markets (2.6% unemployment) and modest GDP growth projections support further easing, but persistent price pressures favor a pause. April CPI data, due early May, represents the pivotal swing factor ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$72,859समाप्ति तिथि
7 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin 51% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target rate at the May 7 meeting, edging out a 48.5% chance of a 25 basis point decrease from the current 6.75%, with hikes at just 1.8%. This tight contest stems from March 26's dovish surprise cut—resuming easing in a split 3-2 vote despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year and core measures at 4.45%, both above the 3% target midpoint. Resilient labor markets (2.6% unemployment) and modest GDP growth projections support further easing, but persistent price pressures favor a pause. April CPI data, due early May, represents the pivotal swing factor ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$72,859समाप्ति तिथि
7 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin 51% implied probability for no change in Banxico's target rate at the May 7 meeting, edging out a 48.5% chance of a 25 basis point decrease from the current 6.75%, with hikes at just 1.8%. This tight contest stems from March 26's dovish surprise cut—resuming easing in a split 3-2 vote despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% year-over-year and core measures at 4.45%, both above the 3% target midpoint. Resilient labor markets (2.6% unemployment) and modest GDP growth projections support further easing, but persistent price pressures favor a pause. April CPI data, due early May, represents the pivotal swing factor ahead of the decision.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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