Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's April 17 remarks, eschewing signals of an imminent rate hike while stressing low real interest rates and heightened policy uncertainty from Middle East tensions, have anchored trader consensus at a 91.1% implied probability of no change in the 0.75% policy rate for the April 26-27 meeting. Softer March Tokyo core CPI (1.7% year-over-year, missing 1.8% estimates) tempers inflation pressures below the 2% target trajectory, despite rising 10-year JGB yields to 2.42% and USD/JPY hovering near 158 amid yen weakness. This strong positioning reflects cooled hike bets from earlier 70% peaks, though hotter national March CPI data—due April 23—or accelerated wage momentum could prompt a 25 basis point adjustment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 91.1%
25 आधार अंकों की वृद्धि 8.3%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि <1%
दरें घटाएँ <1%
$785,265 वॉल्यूम
$785,265 वॉल्यूम
28 अप्रैल, 2026
दरें घटाएँ
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
91%
25 आधार अंकों की वृद्धि
8%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 91.1%
25 आधार अंकों की वृद्धि 8.3%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि <1%
दरें घटाएँ <1%
$785,265 वॉल्यूम
$785,265 वॉल्यूम
28 अप्रैल, 2026
दरें घटाएँ
$178,476 वॉल्यूम
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$168,183 वॉल्यूम
91%
25 आधार अंकों की वृद्धि
$166,006 वॉल्यूम
8%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
$272,600 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's April 17 remarks, eschewing signals of an imminent rate hike while stressing low real interest rates and heightened policy uncertainty from Middle East tensions, have anchored trader consensus at a 91.1% implied probability of no change in the 0.75% policy rate for the April 26-27 meeting. Softer March Tokyo core CPI (1.7% year-over-year, missing 1.8% estimates) tempers inflation pressures below the 2% target trajectory, despite rising 10-year JGB yields to 2.42% and USD/JPY hovering near 158 amid yen weakness. This strong positioning reflects cooled hike bets from earlier 70% peaks, though hotter national March CPI data—due April 23—or accelerated wage momentum could prompt a 25 basis point adjustment.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$785,265समाप्ति तिथि
28 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's April 17 remarks, eschewing signals of an imminent rate hike while stressing low real interest rates and heightened policy uncertainty from Middle East tensions, have anchored trader consensus at a 91.1% implied probability of no change in the 0.75% policy rate for the April 26-27 meeting. Softer March Tokyo core CPI (1.7% year-over-year, missing 1.8% estimates) tempers inflation pressures below the 2% target trajectory, despite rising 10-year JGB yields to 2.42% and USD/JPY hovering near 158 amid yen weakness. This strong positioning reflects cooled hike bets from earlier 70% peaks, though hotter national March CPI data—due April 23—or accelerated wage momentum could prompt a 25 basis point adjustment.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$785,265समाप्ति तिथि
28 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's April 17 remarks, eschewing signals of an imminent rate hike while stressing low real interest rates and heightened policy uncertainty from Middle East tensions, have anchored trader consensus at a 91.1% implied probability of no change in the 0.75% policy rate for the April 26-27 meeting. Softer March Tokyo core CPI (1.7% year-over-year, missing 1.8% estimates) tempers inflation pressures below the 2% target trajectory, despite rising 10-year JGB yields to 2.42% and USD/JPY hovering near 158 amid yen weakness. This strong positioning reflects cooled hike bets from earlier 70% peaks, though hotter national March CPI data—due April 23—or accelerated wage momentum could prompt a 25 basis point adjustment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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