Traders assign near-certain probability against the arrest of Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei by the June 30, 2026 resolution date, driven by the complete absence of criminal investigations, indictments, or public accusations of personal wrongdoing. The company's ongoing civil litigation and regulatory dispute with the Pentagon center on supply chain risk designations and AI usage restrictions, remaining contractual and administrative matters rather than criminal proceedings against the executive. Recent public statements and policy engagements by the CEO have focused on AI development and economic impacts without prompting law enforcement involvement. This trader consensus stems from the lack of any verifiable developments indicating imminent detention. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden revelations of financial misconduct, personal legal violations, or an unexpected escalation from existing regulatory tensions into criminal charges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$165,407 वॉल्यूम
$165,407 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$165,407 वॉल्यूम
$165,407 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign near-certain probability against the arrest of Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei by the June 30, 2026 resolution date, driven by the complete absence of criminal investigations, indictments, or public accusations of personal wrongdoing. The company's ongoing civil litigation and regulatory dispute with the Pentagon center on supply chain risk designations and AI usage restrictions, remaining contractual and administrative matters rather than criminal proceedings against the executive. Recent public statements and policy engagements by the CEO have focused on AI development and economic impacts without prompting law enforcement involvement. This trader consensus stems from the lack of any verifiable developments indicating imminent detention. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden revelations of financial misconduct, personal legal violations, or an unexpected escalation from existing regulatory tensions into criminal charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$165,407समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign near-certain probability against the arrest of Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei by the June 30, 2026 resolution date, driven by the complete absence of criminal investigations, indictments, or public accusations of personal wrongdoing. The company's ongoing civil litigation and regulatory dispute with the Pentagon center on supply chain risk designations and AI usage restrictions, remaining contractual and administrative matters rather than criminal proceedings against the executive. Recent public statements and policy engagements by the CEO have focused on AI development and economic impacts without prompting law enforcement involvement. This trader consensus stems from the lack of any verifiable developments indicating imminent detention. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden revelations of financial misconduct, personal legal violations, or an unexpected escalation from existing regulatory tensions into criminal charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$165,407समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign near-certain probability against the arrest of Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei by the June 30, 2026 resolution date, driven by the complete absence of criminal investigations, indictments, or public accusations of personal wrongdoing. The company's ongoing civil litigation and regulatory dispute with the Pentagon center on supply chain risk designations and AI usage restrictions, remaining contractual and administrative matters rather than criminal proceedings against the executive. Recent public statements and policy engagements by the CEO have focused on AI development and economic impacts without prompting law enforcement involvement. This trader consensus stems from the lack of any verifiable developments indicating imminent detention. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden revelations of financial misconduct, personal legal violations, or an unexpected escalation from existing regulatory tensions into criminal charges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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