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Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$241m נפח
$11m today
$7m Liq.
619
Ends in 11 months
45%
Kevin Warsh
Fed decision in January?
$448m נפח
$20m Liq.
1,369
Ends in 5 days
98%
No change
Fed decision in March?
$3m נפח
$260k today
$539k Liq.
418
Ends in about 2 months
81%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$71.6k today
$797k Liq.
30
27%
3 (75 bps)
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$971k נפח
$77.5k Liq.
15
Ends in 8 days
Cut–Cut–Pause
Fed rate cut by...?
$435k נפח
$111k Liq.
3
Ends in 5 months
68%
June Meeting
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$64.0k נפח
$177k Liq.
31%
3.0%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
$57.3k נפח
$16.2k Liq.
7
Ends in 2 months
46%
4.4%
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?
$327k נפח
$32.2k Liq.
13
99%
June 30, 2026
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$595k נפח
$127k Liq.
26
Ends in 4 months
8%
May 14
Fed decision in April?
$741k נפח
$345k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
73%
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?
$98.5k נפח
$27.7k Liq.
2
1%
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$470k נפח
$140k Liq.
93%
↓ 3.25%
Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?
$7.0k נפח
$71.4k Liq.
24%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$37.3k נפח
$19.9k Liq.
76%
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
$486k נפח
$83.2k Liq.
1
78%
Cut–Pause–Pause
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$22.9k נפח
$7.1k Liq.
3.9%
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$66.8k נפח
$10.5k Liq.
74%
December 31
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?
$19.6k נפח
$3.5k Liq.
34%
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?
$10m נפח
$4.8k Liq.
1,096
3%
February 28, 2026
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