Market icon

האם ישראל תתקוף את עזה ב...?

Jan 31

$1,818,581 נפח

Jan 31, 2026

כללים

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.

A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.

If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
נפח
$1,818,581
תאריך סיום
Jan 31, 2026
נוצר ב
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ET

היזהר מקישורים חיצוניים.

Market icon

האם ישראל תתקוף את עזה ב...?

Jan 31

$1,818,581 נפח

20 בינואר

$27,763 נפח

1%

22 בינואר

$10,145 נפח

37%

23 בינואר

$3,228 נפח

34%

24 בינואר

$1,917 נפח

35%

25 בינואר

$25 נפח

47%

26 בינואר

$45 נפח

48%

27 בינואר

$12 נפח

45%

28 בינואר

$12 נפח

48%

29 בינואר

$12 נפח

49%

30 בינואר

$10 נפח

47%

31 בינואר

$28 נפח

46%

אודות

נפח
$1,818,581
תאריך סיום
Jan 31, 2026
נוצר ב
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ET

היזהר מקישורים חיצוניים.