Chelsea's 48% implied probability as home favorites in the Women's Champions League quarter-final second leg stems from Stamford Bridge advantage and urgency to overturn Arsenal's 3-1 first-leg lead, with Lauren James' stunning reply goal highlighting their attacking threat despite defensive injuries to Millie Bright, Nathalie Björn, Niamh Charles, and others. Arsenal, holding aggregate edge via Stina Blackstenius, Chloe Kelly, and Alessia Russo strikes, face absences like Leah Williamson (hamstring), Katie McCabe (fatigue), and long-term ACL issues for Katie Reid, tempering trader confidence in away win (26.5%) amid Chelsea's historical head-to-head edge. Draw pricing at 25% underscores the tense, low-scoring rivalry potential, with both sides in strong recent form but injury-hit.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Chelsea FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 4, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/womenschampionsleague/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Chelsea FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 4, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/womenschampionsleague/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Chelsea's 48% implied probability as home favorites in the Women's Champions League quarter-final second leg stems from Stamford Bridge advantage and urgency to overturn Arsenal's 3-1 first-leg lead, with Lauren James' stunning reply goal highlighting their attacking threat despite defensive injuries to Millie Bright, Nathalie Björn, Niamh Charles, and others. Arsenal, holding aggregate edge via Stina Blackstenius, Chloe Kelly, and Alessia Russo strikes, face absences like Leah Williamson (hamstring), Katie McCabe (fatigue), and long-term ACL issues for Katie Reid, tempering trader confidence in away win (26.5%) amid Chelsea's historical head-to-head edge. Draw pricing at 25% underscores the tense, low-scoring rivalry potential, with both sides in strong recent form but injury-hit.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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