Bayern München holds a 59% implied probability as traders favor their home advantage in this Champions League quarterfinal second leg on April 15, bolstered by Jamal Musiala's targeted return from ankle injury despite a goalkeeper crisis sidelining Manuel Neuer (muscle tear), Sven Ulreich (abductor), and others, potentially forcing a youth option. Real Madrid CF trails at 26% amid Thibaut Courtois' confirmed absence through May (muscle issue) and Jude Bellingham's likely non-start due to lingering hamstring concerns from February, with Rodrygo out long-term (ACL). Harry Kane's fresh training knock raises Bayern doubts but hasn't shifted consensus, while a 23% draw reflects tight head-to-head history and Real's yellow-card risks for Vinícius Júnior and others.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern München holds a 59% implied probability as traders favor their home advantage in this Champions League quarterfinal second leg on April 15, bolstered by Jamal Musiala's targeted return from ankle injury despite a goalkeeper crisis sidelining Manuel Neuer (muscle tear), Sven Ulreich (abductor), and others, potentially forcing a youth option. Real Madrid CF trails at 26% amid Thibaut Courtois' confirmed absence through May (muscle issue) and Jude Bellingham's likely non-start due to lingering hamstring concerns from February, with Rodrygo out long-term (ACL). Harry Kane's fresh training knock raises Bayern doubts but hasn't shifted consensus, while a 23% draw reflects tight head-to-head history and Real's yellow-card risks for Vinícius Júnior and others.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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