Trader consensus prices Arsenal FC at 54.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at Sporting CP's Estádio José Alvalade, driven by the hosts' key absences: winger Nuno Santos sidelined with a thigh injury and captain Morten Hjulmand suspended after accumulating yellow cards in their recent win over Bodø/Glimt. Arsenal remain unbeaten in five European meetings with Sporting (W2 D3), including a dominant 5-1 victory in Lisbon last season, bolstering sentiment despite their own injury concerns with Martin Ødegaard (knee), Jurriën Timber (ankle), and Mikel Merino (foot) doubtful. Sporting's rescheduled domestic fixture grants extra preparation time and home advantage, supporting the 24.5% draw probability in this competitive matchup, while their 20.5% reflects underdog status amid structural disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Sporting CP wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Sporting CP wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Arsenal FC at 54.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at Sporting CP's Estádio José Alvalade, driven by the hosts' key absences: winger Nuno Santos sidelined with a thigh injury and captain Morten Hjulmand suspended after accumulating yellow cards in their recent win over Bodø/Glimt. Arsenal remain unbeaten in five European meetings with Sporting (W2 D3), including a dominant 5-1 victory in Lisbon last season, bolstering sentiment despite their own injury concerns with Martin Ødegaard (knee), Jurriën Timber (ankle), and Mikel Merino (foot) doubtful. Sporting's rescheduled domestic fixture grants extra preparation time and home advantage, supporting the 24.5% draw probability in this competitive matchup, while their 20.5% reflects underdog status amid structural disruptions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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