Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 45.5% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal first leg at Real Madrid, reflecting Los Blancos' mounting injury crisis headlined by Thibaut Courtois' thigh tear ruling him out until late April, alongside long-term absentee Rodrygo (ACL) and doubts over Ferland Mendy and Dani Ceballos. Bayern, despite their own goalkeeper woes—Manuel Neuer (muscle rupture), Sven Ulreich (abductor), and Jonas Urbig (knee) sidelined, potentially forcing a youth option—gains edge from Jamal Musiala's targeted return from ankle injury and Alphonso Davies' progressing hamstring recovery. Real Madrid's recent Round of 16 triumph over Manchester City provides momentum, but defensive frailties and home-leg pressure keep the matchup closely contested, with draw at 22.5%. Historical head-to-head tilts toward Madrid, yet Bayern's squad depth tilts trader sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 45.5% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal first leg at Real Madrid, reflecting Los Blancos' mounting injury crisis headlined by Thibaut Courtois' thigh tear ruling him out until late April, alongside long-term absentee Rodrygo (ACL) and doubts over Ferland Mendy and Dani Ceballos. Bayern, despite their own goalkeeper woes—Manuel Neuer (muscle rupture), Sven Ulreich (abductor), and Jonas Urbig (knee) sidelined, potentially forcing a youth option—gains edge from Jamal Musiala's targeted return from ankle injury and Alphonso Davies' progressing hamstring recovery. Real Madrid's recent Round of 16 triumph over Manchester City provides momentum, but defensive frailties and home-leg pressure keep the matchup closely contested, with draw at 22.5%. Historical head-to-head tilts toward Madrid, yet Bayern's squad depth tilts trader sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes