Guinea holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability for this international friendly, reflecting its higher FIFA ranking (around 80th vs. Benin's 92nd) and unbeaten run in recent friendlies, capped by a 2-2 draw against Togo three days ago. However, key absences loom large: midfielder Ilaix Moriba sidelined by knee tendinopathy (replaced by Lancinet Kourouma) and defender Mouctar Diakhaby injured, potentially weakening the Syli National's midfield control and backline. Benin, at 22.5%, gains from a gritty 1-0 win over Liberia on March 27 via Tosin's late strike, but counters defender Olivier Verdon's injury withdrawal. The 26.5% draw price underscores a closely contested affair, informed by Benin's 1-0 upset in their 2019 head-to-head and both teams' short turnaround on neutral Moroccan soil.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Guinea wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Guinea wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Guinea holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability for this international friendly, reflecting its higher FIFA ranking (around 80th vs. Benin's 92nd) and unbeaten run in recent friendlies, capped by a 2-2 draw against Togo three days ago. However, key absences loom large: midfielder Ilaix Moriba sidelined by knee tendinopathy (replaced by Lancinet Kourouma) and defender Mouctar Diakhaby injured, potentially weakening the Syli National's midfield control and backline. Benin, at 22.5%, gains from a gritty 1-0 win over Liberia on March 27 via Tosin's late strike, but counters defender Olivier Verdon's injury withdrawal. The 26.5% draw price underscores a closely contested affair, informed by Benin's 1-0 upset in their 2019 head-to-head and both teams' short turnaround on neutral Moroccan soil.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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