Georgia holds a slim 46.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite in this international friendly at Lithuania's Darius and Girėnas Stadium, driven by superior squad quality featuring stars like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia—who scored twice in their recent 2-2 home draw with Israel—and goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili, despite absences of Otar Kiteishvili and Saba Goglichidze due to injury. Lithuania, buoyed by a 2-0 away win over Moldova on March 26 via goals from Justas Lasickas and Gvidas Gineitis, gains home advantage and momentum after a prior winless streak, but their shallower depth elevates the draw to 27.5%. Georgia's historical edge (4-3 head-to-head wins) and attacking firepower explain the closely contested pricing, with no major lineup changes beyond Lithuania's pre-camp withdrawal of Paulius Golubickas.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Lithuania wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 1, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Lithuania wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 1, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Georgia holds a slim 46.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite in this international friendly at Lithuania's Darius and Girėnas Stadium, driven by superior squad quality featuring stars like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia—who scored twice in their recent 2-2 home draw with Israel—and goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili, despite absences of Otar Kiteishvili and Saba Goglichidze due to injury. Lithuania, buoyed by a 2-0 away win over Moldova on March 26 via goals from Justas Lasickas and Gvidas Gineitis, gains home advantage and momentum after a prior winless streak, but their shallower depth elevates the draw to 27.5%. Georgia's historical edge (4-3 head-to-head wins) and attacking firepower explain the closely contested pricing, with no major lineup changes beyond Lithuania's pre-camp withdrawal of Paulius Golubickas.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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