England's 62.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite against Japan in Tuesday's Wembley international friendly reflects home advantage, historical edge (2 wins, 1 draw in last three head-to-heads), and lingering depth under Thomas Tuchel despite a depleted squad. Over the past 48 hours, eight players—including Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, John Stones, Noni Madueke, and Fikayo Tomori—have departed camp due to injuries or medical concerns following the recent Uruguay draw, tightening odds and boosting draw (21.5%) and Japan (16.5%) viability. Japan, missing Kaoru Mitoma, Takefusa Kubo, Wataru Endo, and Takehiro Tomiyasu, faces barriers but could exploit England's disarray in this World Cup 2026 send-off tune-up.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If England wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 4, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If England wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 4, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...England's 62.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite against Japan in Tuesday's Wembley international friendly reflects home advantage, historical edge (2 wins, 1 draw in last three head-to-heads), and lingering depth under Thomas Tuchel despite a depleted squad. Over the past 48 hours, eight players—including Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, John Stones, Noni Madueke, and Fikayo Tomori—have departed camp due to injuries or medical concerns following the recent Uruguay draw, tightening odds and boosting draw (21.5%) and Japan (16.5%) viability. Japan, missing Kaoru Mitoma, Takefusa Kubo, Wataru Endo, and Takehiro Tomiyasu, faces barriers but could exploit England's disarray in this World Cup 2026 send-off tune-up.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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