Uruguay holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 44% implied probability for this international friendly at neutral Allianz Stadium in Turin, driven by their superior FIFA ranking (17th vs. Algeria's 28th), Marcelo Bielsa's defensive solidity with clean sheets in five of their last six matches, and a recent 1-1 draw against England showcasing quality depth. Algeria's scorching recent form—including a dominant 7-0 friendly win over Guatemala two days ago and five victories in six outings—fuels their 28.5% chance and the elevated 29% draw probability, but multiple injuries sideline key midfielders like Ismaël Bennacer (hamstring) and Jaouen Hadjam, weakening their engine room ahead of both teams' 2026 World Cup preparations. Limited head-to-head history adds to the closely contested sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Algeria wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 4, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Algeria wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 4, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uruguay holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 44% implied probability for this international friendly at neutral Allianz Stadium in Turin, driven by their superior FIFA ranking (17th vs. Algeria's 28th), Marcelo Bielsa's defensive solidity with clean sheets in five of their last six matches, and a recent 1-1 draw against England showcasing quality depth. Algeria's scorching recent form—including a dominant 7-0 friendly win over Guatemala two days ago and five victories in six outings—fuels their 28.5% chance and the elevated 29% draw probability, but multiple injuries sideline key midfielders like Ismaël Bennacer (hamstring) and Jaouen Hadjam, weakening their engine room ahead of both teams' 2026 World Cup preparations. Limited head-to-head history adds to the closely contested sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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