Union Berlin's 45% implied probability as slight home favorite stems from their 9th-place standing versus St. Pauli's 16th in the relegation zone, bolstered by a superior head-to-head record and the visitors' deepening defensive injury crisis. St. Pauli, fresh off a 1-2 loss at Freiburg on March 22, remain without midfielder James Sands for the season due to ankle surgery, centre-back Karol Mets (calf, indefinite), right-back Manolis Saliakas (hamstring), and recent additions Tomoya Ando (adductor) and Hauke Ritzka. Union, despite a 0-4 defeat to Bayern last weekend and missing suspended András Schäfer plus goalkeeper Matheo Raab (hand), hold firmer table position and home form, keeping draw (29%) and St. Pauli upset (25%) viable in this tight Bundesliga matchup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Union Berlin's 45% implied probability as slight home favorite stems from their 9th-place standing versus St. Pauli's 16th in the relegation zone, bolstered by a superior head-to-head record and the visitors' deepening defensive injury crisis. St. Pauli, fresh off a 1-2 loss at Freiburg on March 22, remain without midfielder James Sands for the season due to ankle surgery, centre-back Karol Mets (calf, indefinite), right-back Manolis Saliakas (hamstring), and recent additions Tomoya Ando (adductor) and Hauke Ritzka. Union, despite a 0-4 defeat to Bayern last weekend and missing suspended András Schäfer plus goalkeeper Matheo Raab (hand), hold firmer table position and home form, keeping draw (29%) and St. Pauli upset (25%) viable in this tight Bundesliga matchup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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