Botafogo holds a slim 45% implied probability as home favorite against Mirassol in this Serie A relegation scrap at Estádio Nilton Santos, reflecting trader consensus on their edge despite a dismal run of four straight losses and 17th place with six points from six games. Mirassol's 27.5% win chance underscores their resilience with three draws in seven outings (also six points, 18th), bolstered by a head-to-head record of two stalemates last season, including a 0-0 in November. The 29.5% draw pricing aligns with both sides' low-scoring form—Botafogo 10-12 goals, Mirassol 8-10—exacerbated by injuries like Botafogo's Newton (shoulder) and Kaio, plus Mirassol's Reinaldo (suspension) and Igor Carius (thigh), tempering attacking threats in a closely contested matchup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Botafogo FR wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Botafogo FR wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Botafogo holds a slim 45% implied probability as home favorite against Mirassol in this Serie A relegation scrap at Estádio Nilton Santos, reflecting trader consensus on their edge despite a dismal run of four straight losses and 17th place with six points from six games. Mirassol's 27.5% win chance underscores their resilience with three draws in seven outings (also six points, 18th), bolstered by a head-to-head record of two stalemates last season, including a 0-0 in November. The 29.5% draw pricing aligns with both sides' low-scoring form—Botafogo 10-12 goals, Mirassol 8-10—exacerbated by injuries like Botafogo's Newton (shoulder) and Kaio, plus Mirassol's Reinaldo (suspension) and Igor Carius (thigh), tempering attacking threats in a closely contested matchup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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