In the Avellaneda Derby, trader consensus favors CA Independiente at 40.5% implied probability, driven by home advantage at Estadio Libertadores de América despite their 8th-place standing, while Racing Club sits 4th with stronger recent form including a 2-1 away win over Belgrano last week. High draw pricing at 31.5% reflects frequent stalemates in head-to-heads—six draws in the last 20 meetings, often low-scoring—and Racing's solid away record tempered by injuries to forward Duván Vergara (muscular) and midfielder Baltasar Rodríguez. Independiente's poor home form is offset by Racing's absences like defender Facundo Zabala out, keeping the matchup closely contested ahead of the April 4 kickoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If CA Independiente wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.afa.com.ar/es/liga-profesional-de-futbolResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If CA Independiente wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.afa.com.ar/es/liga-profesional-de-futbolResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Avellaneda Derby, trader consensus favors CA Independiente at 40.5% implied probability, driven by home advantage at Estadio Libertadores de América despite their 8th-place standing, while Racing Club sits 4th with stronger recent form including a 2-1 away win over Belgrano last week. High draw pricing at 31.5% reflects frequent stalemates in head-to-heads—six draws in the last 20 meetings, often low-scoring—and Racing's solid away record tempered by injuries to forward Duván Vergara (muscular) and midfielder Baltasar Rodríguez. Independiente's poor home form is offset by Racing's absences like defender Facundo Zabala out, keeping the matchup closely contested ahead of the April 4 kickoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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