youngcheese
Inscrit Apr 2025·294 vues
$2,824.17
Valeur des positions
$2,581.07
Plus gros gain
22
Prédictions
Profit/Perte
Jour Précédent
Actuel

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes 12.3¢
7,099.0 actions12.3¢
9.6¢
$677.96-$194.42 (-22.29%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes 12.3¢
7,099.0 actions$677.96-$194.42 (-22.29%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes 36.2¢
2,958.5 actions36.2¢
22¢
$650.88-$420.79 (-39.27%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes 36.2¢
2,958.5 actions$650.88-$420.79 (-39.27%)
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?
Yes 18.7¢
1,605.7 actions$594.12$294.13 (98.04%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes 57.8¢
741.2 actions57.8¢
41¢
$303.88-$124.62 (-29.08%)

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes 57.8¢
741.2 actions$303.88-$124.62 (-29.08%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Yes 23.3¢
1,288.9 actions23.3¢
21¢
$270.68-$29.32 (-9.77%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Yes 23.3¢
1,288.9 actions$270.68-$29.32 (-9.77%)

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes 37.5¢
1,400.0 actions37.5¢
19¢
$266.00-$259.00 (-49.33%)

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes 37.5¢
1,400.0 actions$266.00-$259.00 (-49.33%)

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 38.6¢
10,859.5 actions38.6¢
0.4¢
$48.87-$4,139.67 (-98.83%)

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 38.6¢
10,859.5 actions$48.87-$4,139.67 (-98.83%)

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 41¢
3,368.1 actions41¢
0.4¢
$11.79-$1,369.87 (-99.15%)

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 41¢
3,368.1 actions$11.79-$1,369.87 (-99.15%)