France enters 2026 World Cup Group I as the clear market leader at 68.5% implied probability due to its elite squad depth, recent preparation wins over Brazil and Colombia, and status as two-time recent finalists. Norway at 21.5% benefits from a dominant UEFA qualifying campaign and the presence of Erling Haaland, though it faces tougher opposition in the finals. Senegal at 10.5% brings strong African form and historical upset potential against France, while Iraq at 1.1% remains a long shot after advancing via inter-confederation playoffs. The June 16 opener between France and Senegal, followed by the full round-robin through June 26, will determine the group winner under expanded tournament advancement rules.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFrance 69%
Norvège 22%
Sénégal 11%
Irak 1.1%
$191,107 Vol.
$191,107 Vol.
France
69%
Norvège
22%
Sénégal
11%
Irak
1%
France 69%
Norvège 22%
Sénégal 11%
Irak 1.1%
$191,107 Vol.
$191,107 Vol.
France
69%
Norvège
22%
Sénégal
11%
Irak
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France enters 2026 World Cup Group I as the clear market leader at 68.5% implied probability due to its elite squad depth, recent preparation wins over Brazil and Colombia, and status as two-time recent finalists. Norway at 21.5% benefits from a dominant UEFA qualifying campaign and the presence of Erling Haaland, though it faces tougher opposition in the finals. Senegal at 10.5% brings strong African form and historical upset potential against France, while Iraq at 1.1% remains a long shot after advancing via inter-confederation playoffs. The June 16 opener between France and Senegal, followed by the full round-robin through June 26, will determine the group winner under expanded tournament advancement rules.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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