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Économie·Brut

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

Market icon
Économie·Brut

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

$237,734 Vol.

May 1, 2026
Polymarket

$237,734 Vol.

Polymarket

375M

$61,456 Vol.

31%

350M

$52,728 Vol.

6%

325M

$31,144 Vol.

5%

300M

$39,925 Vol.

6%

250M

$22,096 Vol.

4%

200M

$30,386 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before May 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before May 1, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before May 1, 2026, by May 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.US commercial crude oil inventories surged by 6.9 million barrels to 456 million barrels in the week ending March 20, per the latest EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report released March 25, marking the second consecutive major build after a 6.2 million barrel increase the prior week, driven by elevated imports from Venezuela and Mexico outpacing refinery inputs averaging 16.6 million barrels per day. These gains follow February draws amid robust US production holding near 13.6 million b/d forecast levels and steady exports, despite global supply risks from Middle East disruptions tightening prices. Traders eye weekly EIA reports culminating by May 1—likely resolving on the report for the week ending April 24—as spring driving season demand and refinery utilization rebound post-maintenance could spur draws, introducing volatility to inventory trajectories.

US commercial crude oil inventories surged by 6.9 million barrels to 456 million barrels in the week ending March 20, per the latest EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report released March 25, marking the second consecutive major build after a 6.2 million barrel increase the prior week, driven by elevated imports from Venezuela and Mexico outpacing refinery inputs averaging 16.6 million barrels per day. These gains follow February draws amid robust US production holding near 13.6 million b/d forecast levels and steady exports, despite global supply risks from Middle East disruptions tightening prices. Traders eye weekly EIA reports culminating by May 1—likely resolving on the report for the week ending April 24—as spring driving season demand and refinery utilization rebound post-maintenance could spur draws, introducing volatility to inventory trajectories.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before May 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before May 1, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before May 1, 2026, by May 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.US commercial crude oil inventories surged by 6.9 million barrels to 456 million barrels in the week ending March 20, per the latest EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report released March 25, marking the second consecutive major build after a 6.2 million barrel increase the prior week, driven by elevated imports from Venezuela and Mexico outpacing refinery inputs averaging 16.6 million barrels per day. These gains follow February draws amid robust US production holding near 13.6 million b/d forecast levels and steady exports, despite global supply risks from Middle East disruptions tightening prices. Traders eye weekly EIA reports culminating by May 1—likely resolving on the report for the week ending April 24—as spring driving season demand and refinery utilization rebound post-maintenance could spur draws, introducing volatility to inventory trajectories.

US commercial crude oil inventories surged by 6.9 million barrels to 456 million barrels in the week ending March 20, per the latest EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report released March 25, marking the second consecutive major build after a 6.2 million barrel increase the prior week, driven by elevated imports from Venezuela and Mexico outpacing refinery inputs averaging 16.6 million barrels per day. These gains follow February draws amid robust US production holding near 13.6 million b/d forecast levels and steady exports, despite global supply risks from Middle East disruptions tightening prices. Traders eye weekly EIA reports culminating by May 1—likely resolving on the report for the week ending April 24—as spring driving season demand and refinery utilization rebound post-maintenance could spur draws, introducing volatility to inventory trajectories.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 375M » à 31%, suivi de « 350M » à 6%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 31¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 31% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1? » a généré $237.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1? » est « 375M » à 31%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 31% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 350M » à 6%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.