Market icon
Économie·Brut

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

Market icon
Économie·Brut

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

$238,567 Vol.

May 1, 2026
Polymarket

$238,567 Vol.

Polymarket

375M

$61,543 Vol.

32%

350M

$53,384 Vol.

6%

325M

$31,234 Vol.

5%

300M

$39,925 Vol.

6%

250M

$22,096 Vol.

4%

200M

$30,386 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before May 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before May 1, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before May 1, 2026, by May 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.US commercial crude oil inventories rose 6.9 million barrels to 456.2 million barrels for the week ending March 20, 0.1% above the five-year average, driven by higher refinery inputs averaging 16.6 million barrels per day despite lower imports of 6.5 million barrels per day. This continues a trend of recent stock builds—from 443.1 million the prior week—reflecting robust field production near 13.6 million barrels per day and EIA forecasts of persistent accumulation amid moderate demand growth. Traders weigh low odds for sharp declines to sub-400 million levels by May 1 against upcoming EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Reports (next on April 1), end-of-maintenance refinery ramp-ups, and early summer driving season demand. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add uncertainty to global supply flows.

US commercial crude oil inventories rose 6.9 million barrels to 456.2 million barrels for the week ending March 20, 0.1% above the five-year average, driven by higher refinery inputs averaging 16.6 million barrels per day despite lower imports of 6.5 million barrels per day. This continues a trend of recent stock builds—from 443.1 million the prior week—reflecting robust field production near 13.6 million barrels per day and EIA forecasts of persistent accumulation amid moderate demand growth. Traders weigh low odds for sharp declines to sub-400 million levels by May 1 against upcoming EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Reports (next on April 1), end-of-maintenance refinery ramp-ups, and early summer driving season demand. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add uncertainty to global supply flows.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before May 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before May 1, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before May 1, 2026, by May 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.US commercial crude oil inventories rose 6.9 million barrels to 456.2 million barrels for the week ending March 20, 0.1% above the five-year average, driven by higher refinery inputs averaging 16.6 million barrels per day despite lower imports of 6.5 million barrels per day. This continues a trend of recent stock builds—from 443.1 million the prior week—reflecting robust field production near 13.6 million barrels per day and EIA forecasts of persistent accumulation amid moderate demand growth. Traders weigh low odds for sharp declines to sub-400 million levels by May 1 against upcoming EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Reports (next on April 1), end-of-maintenance refinery ramp-ups, and early summer driving season demand. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add uncertainty to global supply flows.

US commercial crude oil inventories rose 6.9 million barrels to 456.2 million barrels for the week ending March 20, 0.1% above the five-year average, driven by higher refinery inputs averaging 16.6 million barrels per day despite lower imports of 6.5 million barrels per day. This continues a trend of recent stock builds—from 443.1 million the prior week—reflecting robust field production near 13.6 million barrels per day and EIA forecasts of persistent accumulation amid moderate demand growth. Traders weigh low odds for sharp declines to sub-400 million levels by May 1 against upcoming EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Reports (next on April 1), end-of-maintenance refinery ramp-ups, and early summer driving season demand. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add uncertainty to global supply flows.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 375M » à 32%, suivi de « 350M » à 6%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 32¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 32% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1? » a généré $238.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1? » est « 375M » à 32%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 32% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 350M » à 6%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.