Market icon

Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30?

Market icon

Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30?

0% chance
Polymarket

$52,918 Vol.

0% chance
Polymarket

$52,918 Vol.

With the closing of Silicon Valley Bank, all uninsured depositors will receive dividends as SVB’s assets are liquidated, until depositors are either made whole or all assets are depleted. It is reported that SVB’s assets exceed that of its deposits.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if depositors are made whole - as in this case, receive dividends that total approximately the same amount that they had deposited in SVB at time of failure, by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. If uninsured depositors are made whole via any other method (i.e. government bailout, merger or acquisition, etc.), this market will also resolve to “Yes.”

If depositors are not made whole by June 30, 2023, the market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the FDIC, other government-related entities direct reporting, and SVB direct reporting. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$52,918
Date de fin
Jun 30, 2023
Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2023, 7:00 PM ET
With the closing of Silicon Valley Bank, all uninsured depositors will receive dividends as SVB’s assets are liquidated, until depositors are either made whole or all assets are depleted. It is reported that SVB’s assets exceed that of its deposits. This market will resolve to “Yes” if depositors are made whole - as in this case, receive dividends that total approximately the same amount that they had deposited in SVB at time of failure, by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. If uninsured depositors are made whole via any other method (i.e. government bailout, merger or acquisition, etc.), this market will also resolve to “Yes.” If depositors are not made whole by June 30, 2023, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the FDIC, other government-related entities direct reporting, and SVB direct reporting. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

With the closing of Silicon Valley Bank, all uninsured depositors will receive dividends as SVB’s assets are liquidated, until depositors are either made whole or all assets are depleted. It is reported that SVB’s assets exceed that of its deposits.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if depositors are made whole - as in this case, receive dividends that total approximately the same amount that they had deposited in SVB at time of failure, by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. If uninsured depositors are made whole via any other method (i.e. government bailout, merger or acquisition, etc.), this market will also resolve to “Yes.”

If depositors are not made whole by June 30, 2023, the market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the FDIC, other government-related entities direct reporting, and SVB direct reporting. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$52,918
Date de fin
Jun 30, 2023
Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2023, 7:00 PM ET
With the closing of Silicon Valley Bank, all uninsured depositors will receive dividends as SVB’s assets are liquidated, until depositors are either made whole or all assets are depleted. It is reported that SVB’s assets exceed that of its deposits. This market will resolve to “Yes” if depositors are made whole - as in this case, receive dividends that total approximately the same amount that they had deposited in SVB at time of failure, by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. If uninsured depositors are made whole via any other method (i.e. government bailout, merger or acquisition, etc.), this market will also resolve to “Yes.” If depositors are not made whole by June 30, 2023, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the FDIC, other government-related entities direct reporting, and SVB direct reporting. A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30?" has generated $52.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 10, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.