The strong trader consensus that the 2028 Republican presidential nominee will not be a woman stems primarily from early national polling and prediction market data showing JD Vance as the clear frontrunner, followed by other male contenders such as Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, and Ted Cruz. As of mid-2026, these figures dominate discussions of the nomination field, reflecting institutional support, name recognition, and positioning within the party's dominant coalition. Female politicians like Katie Britt appear on speculative lists but register minimal polling traction or organizational momentum at this stage. While late shifts remain possible through primary performance, endorsements, or unexpected candidate entries, the current distribution of viable contenders and voter preferences creates significant structural barriers to a female nominee.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
4% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 nov. 2028
Oui
4% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 nov. 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The strong trader consensus that the 2028 Republican presidential nominee will not be a woman stems primarily from early national polling and prediction market data showing JD Vance as the clear frontrunner, followed by other male contenders such as Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, and Ted Cruz. As of mid-2026, these figures dominate discussions of the nomination field, reflecting institutional support, name recognition, and positioning within the party's dominant coalition. Female politicians like Katie Britt appear on speculative lists but register minimal polling traction or organizational momentum at this stage. While late shifts remain possible through primary performance, endorsements, or unexpected candidate entries, the current distribution of viable contenders and voter preferences creates significant structural barriers to a female nominee.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volume
$2,588Date de fin
7 nov. 2028Marché ouvert
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The strong trader consensus that the 2028 Republican presidential nominee will not be a woman stems primarily from early national polling and prediction market data showing JD Vance as the clear frontrunner, followed by other male contenders such as Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, and Ted Cruz. As of mid-2026, these figures dominate discussions of the nomination field, reflecting institutional support, name recognition, and positioning within the party's dominant coalition. Female politicians like Katie Britt appear on speculative lists but register minimal polling traction or organizational momentum at this stage. While late shifts remain possible through primary performance, endorsements, or unexpected candidate entries, the current distribution of viable contenders and voter preferences creates significant structural barriers to a female nominee.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,588Date de fin
7 nov. 2028Marché ouvert
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The strong trader consensus that the 2028 Republican presidential nominee will not be a woman stems primarily from early national polling and prediction market data showing JD Vance as the clear frontrunner, followed by other male contenders such as Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, and Ted Cruz. As of mid-2026, these figures dominate discussions of the nomination field, reflecting institutional support, name recognition, and positioning within the party's dominant coalition. Female politicians like Katie Britt appear on speculative lists but register minimal polling traction or organizational momentum at this stage. While late shifts remain possible through primary performance, endorsements, or unexpected candidate entries, the current distribution of viable contenders and voter preferences creates significant structural barriers to a female nominee.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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