Oui
$460,437 Vol.
$460,437 Vol.
Jan 7, 2026
Oui
$460,437 Vol.
$460,437 Vol.
Jan 7, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Russian government or military publicly and officially announces a ceasefire or “truce” in its war against Ukraine that is explicitly tied to Christmas or Orthodox Christmas for the 2025–26 holiday period.
A qualifying announcement must:
The January 2023 unilateral “Orthodox Christmas” ceasefire order is an example of a qualifying announcement.
The announcement alone is sufficient: the truce does not need to be accepted by Ukraine or actually upheld in practice, and any later violations, non-compliance, or cancellation will not change the outcome once a qualifying announcement has been made.
The primary resolution sources will be official Russian government.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Russian government or military publicly and officially announces a ceasefire or “truce” in its war against Ukraine that is explicitly tied to Christmas or Orthodox Christmas for the 2025–26 holiday period.
A qualifying announcement must:
The January 2023 unilateral “Orthodox Christmas” ceasefire order is an example of a qualifying announcement.
The announcement alone is sufficient: the truce does not need to be accepted by Ukraine or actually upheld in practice, and any later violations, non-compliance, or cancellation will not change the outcome once a qualifying announcement has been made.
The primary resolution sources will be official Russian government.
A qualifying announcement must:
The January 2023 unilateral “Orthodox Christmas” ceasefire order is an example of a qualifying announcement.
The announcement alone is sufficient: the truce does not need to be accepted by Ukraine or actually upheld in practice, and any later violations, non-compliance, or cancellation will not change the outcome once a qualifying announcement has been made.
The primary resolution sources will be official Russian government.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 1:55 PM ET
Volume
$460,437Date de fin
Jan 7, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 1:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Russian government or military publicly and officially announces a ceasefire or “truce” in its war against Ukraine that is explicitly tied to Christmas or Orthodox Christmas for the 2025–26 holiday period.
A qualifying announcement must:
The January 2023 unilateral “Orthodox Christmas” ceasefire order is an example of a qualifying announcement.
The announcement alone is sufficient: the truce does not need to be accepted by Ukraine or actually upheld in practice, and any later violations, non-compliance, or cancellation will not change the outcome once a qualifying announcement has been made.
The primary resolution sources will be official Russian government.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Russian government or military publicly and officially announces a ceasefire or “truce” in its war against Ukraine that is explicitly tied to Christmas or Orthodox Christmas for the 2025–26 holiday period.
A qualifying announcement must:
The January 2023 unilateral “Orthodox Christmas” ceasefire order is an example of a qualifying announcement.
The announcement alone is sufficient: the truce does not need to be accepted by Ukraine or actually upheld in practice, and any later violations, non-compliance, or cancellation will not change the outcome once a qualifying announcement has been made.
The primary resolution sources will be official Russian government.
A qualifying announcement must:
The January 2023 unilateral “Orthodox Christmas” ceasefire order is an example of a qualifying announcement.
The announcement alone is sufficient: the truce does not need to be accepted by Ukraine or actually upheld in practice, and any later violations, non-compliance, or cancellation will not change the outcome once a qualifying announcement has been made.
The primary resolution sources will be official Russian government.
Volume
$460,437Date de fin
Jan 7, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 1:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non

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