Market icon

Pete Hegseth interdira-t-il Claude d'ici le 31 mars ?

Market icon

Pete Hegseth interdira-t-il Claude d'ici le 31 mars ?

Oui

>99% chance
Polymarket

$2,323,996 Vol.

Oui

>99% chance
Polymarket

$2,323,996 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude. A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude. Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude.

A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude.

Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,323,996
Date de fin
31 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 16, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude. A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude. Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude. A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude. Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude.

A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude.

Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,323,996
Date de fin
31 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 16, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude. A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude. Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Pete Hegseth interdira-t-il Claude d'ici le 31 mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Pete Hegseth interdira-t-il Claude d'ici le 31 mars ? » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Pete Hegseth interdira-t-il Claude d'ici le 31 mars ? » a généré $2.3 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 16, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Pete Hegseth interdira-t-il Claude d'ici le 31 mars ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Pete Hegseth interdira-t-il Claude d'ici le 31 mars ? » est « Pete Hegseth interdira-t-il Claude d'ici le 31 mars ? » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Pete Hegseth interdira-t-il Claude d'ici le 31 mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.