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Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18?

Market icon

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 40.0% for the day of August 18, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for August 18 will be checked on August 19, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for August 18 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on August 19, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 40.0% for the day of August 18, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution data for August 18 will be checked on August 19, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check.

If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for August 18 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on August 19, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18.

If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$8,880
Date de fin
Aug 18, 2022
Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2022, 8:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 40.0% for the day of August 18, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for August 18 will be checked on August 19, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for August 18 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on August 19, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 40.0% for the day of August 18, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for August 18 will be checked on August 19, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for August 18 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on August 19, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 40.0% for the day of August 18, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution data for August 18 will be checked on August 19, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check.

If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for August 18 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on August 19, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18.

If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$8,880
Date de fin
Aug 18, 2022
Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2022, 8:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 40.0% for the day of August 18, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for August 18 will be checked on August 19, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for August 18 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on August 19, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to August 18. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

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Questions fréquentes

« Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 100% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 100¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 10, 2022. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18? » est de 100% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 100% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.