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Alex Honnold va-t-il libérer Taipei 101 en solo ?

Market icon

Alex Honnold va-t-il libérer Taipei 101 en solo ?

Oui

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,925,801 Vol.

Oui

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,925,801 Vol.

Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alex Honnold completes a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed if he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed once Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed once Honnold reaches the top of the spire.

If Honnold abandons his free solo before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), this market will resolve to “No”.

If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, or otherwise not completed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution sources for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb and official information from Alex Honnold or Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,925,801
Date de fin
Jan 23, 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 22, 2025, 7:53 PM ET
Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alex Honnold completes a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed if he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed once Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed once Honnold reaches the top of the spire. If Honnold abandons his free solo before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), this market will resolve to “No”. If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, or otherwise not completed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb and official information from Alex Honnold or Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alex Honnold completes a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed if he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed once Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed once Honnold reaches the top of the spire.

If Honnold abandons his free solo before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), this market will resolve to “No”.

If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, or otherwise not completed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution sources for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb and official information from Alex Honnold or Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,925,801
Date de fin
Jan 23, 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 22, 2025, 7:53 PM ET
Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alex Honnold completes a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed if he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed once Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed once Honnold reaches the top of the spire. If Honnold abandons his free solo before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), this market will resolve to “No”. If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, or otherwise not completed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb and official information from Alex Honnold or Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Alex Honnold va-t-il libérer Taipei 101 en solo ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alex Honnold va-t-il gravir en solo intégral le Taipei 101 ?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alex Honnold va-t-il libérer Taipei 101 en solo ?" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alex Honnold va-t-il libérer Taipei 101 en solo ?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alex Honnold va-t-il libérer Taipei 101 en solo ?" is "Alex Honnold va-t-il gravir en solo intégral le Taipei 101 ?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alex Honnold va-t-il libérer Taipei 101 en solo ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.