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Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1?

Market icon

Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1?

If the Real Clear Politics "Direction of the Country" poll average has a value of 75.0% or more for "Wrong Track" for the date of August 1, 2022 at check time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This resolution source will be checked on August 3, 2022 at 12 PM ET. This market can only resolve after this check has been performed. If data for the date of August 1 is not available on this market's check time, the resolution source will be checked every six hours with the final check at August 5, 12 PM ET. If data for August 1, 2022 remains unavailable at the final check time, this market will resolve based on the value of the data point for the nearest prior available day. The resolution source for this market will be the "Direction of the Country" graph of poll averages supplied by Real Clear Politics, presently found at https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html, specifically the "Wrong Track" figure indicated by the red trend line for the resolution date, with the "30D" timeframe clicked. Changes in the methodology by which Real Clear Politics calculates this figure will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the Real Clear Politics "Direction of the Country" poll average has a value of 75.0% or more for "Wrong Track" for the date of August 1, 2022 at check time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This resolution source will be checked on August 3, 2022 at 12 PM ET. This market can only resolve after this check has been performed. If data for the date of August 1 is not available on this market's check time, the resolution source will be checked every six hours with the final check at August 5, 12 PM ET. If data for August 1, 2022 remains unavailable at the final check time, this market will resolve based on the value of the data point for the nearest prior available day.

The resolution source for this market will be the "Direction of the Country" graph of poll averages supplied by Real Clear Politics, presently found at https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html, specifically the "Wrong Track" figure indicated by the red trend line for the resolution date, with the "30D" timeframe clicked. Changes in the methodology by which Real Clear Politics calculates this figure will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$4,154
Date de fin
3 août 2022
Marché ouvert
Jul 21, 2022, 8:00 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
If the Real Clear Politics "Direction of the Country" poll average has a value of 75.0% or more for "Wrong Track" for the date of August 1, 2022 at check time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This resolution source will be checked on August 3, 2022 at 12 PM ET. This market can only resolve after this check has been performed. If data for the date of August 1 is not available on this market's check time, the resolution source will be checked every six hours with the final check at August 5, 12 PM ET. If data for August 1, 2022 remains unavailable at the final check time, this market will resolve based on the value of the data point for the nearest prior available day. The resolution source for this market will be the "Direction of the Country" graph of poll averages supplied by Real Clear Politics, presently found at https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html, specifically the "Wrong Track" figure indicated by the red trend line for the resolution date, with the "30D" timeframe clicked. Changes in the methodology by which Real Clear Politics calculates this figure will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

If the Real Clear Politics "Direction of the Country" poll average has a value of 75.0% or more for "Wrong Track" for the date of August 1, 2022 at check time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This resolution source will be checked on August 3, 2022 at 12 PM ET. This market can only resolve after this check has been performed. If data for the date of August 1 is not available on this market's check time, the resolution source will be checked every six hours with the final check at August 5, 12 PM ET. If data for August 1, 2022 remains unavailable at the final check time, this market will resolve based on the value of the data point for the nearest prior available day. The resolution source for this market will be the "Direction of the Country" graph of poll averages supplied by Real Clear Politics, presently found at https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html, specifically the "Wrong Track" figure indicated by the red trend line for the resolution date, with the "30D" timeframe clicked. Changes in the methodology by which Real Clear Politics calculates this figure will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the Real Clear Politics "Direction of the Country" poll average has a value of 75.0% or more for "Wrong Track" for the date of August 1, 2022 at check time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This resolution source will be checked on August 3, 2022 at 12 PM ET. This market can only resolve after this check has been performed. If data for the date of August 1 is not available on this market's check time, the resolution source will be checked every six hours with the final check at August 5, 12 PM ET. If data for August 1, 2022 remains unavailable at the final check time, this market will resolve based on the value of the data point for the nearest prior available day.

The resolution source for this market will be the "Direction of the Country" graph of poll averages supplied by Real Clear Politics, presently found at https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html, specifically the "Wrong Track" figure indicated by the red trend line for the resolution date, with the "30D" timeframe clicked. Changes in the methodology by which Real Clear Politics calculates this figure will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$4,154
Date de fin
3 août 2022
Marché ouvert
Jul 21, 2022, 8:00 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html

Resolver

0xCB1822859...
If the Real Clear Politics "Direction of the Country" poll average has a value of 75.0% or more for "Wrong Track" for the date of August 1, 2022 at check time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This resolution source will be checked on August 3, 2022 at 12 PM ET. This market can only resolve after this check has been performed. If data for the date of August 1 is not available on this market's check time, the resolution source will be checked every six hours with the final check at August 5, 12 PM ET. If data for August 1, 2022 remains unavailable at the final check time, this market will resolve based on the value of the data point for the nearest prior available day. The resolution source for this market will be the "Direction of the Country" graph of poll averages supplied by Real Clear Politics, presently found at https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html, specifically the "Wrong Track" figure indicated by the red trend line for the resolution date, with the "30D" timeframe clicked. Changes in the methodology by which Real Clear Politics calculates this figure will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 0% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 0¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 0% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 22, 2022. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1? » est de 0% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 0% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.