Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district carries an R+8 partisan voter index, placing it among the more Republican-leaning seats nationally and underpinning the strong trader consensus behind the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Glenn Grothman faces only limited opposition in the August 11 primary and a general-election challenge that includes an independent candidate, yet forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball continue to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. National generic-ballot polling has recently favored Democrats, but the district’s structural advantage and Grothman’s established incumbency have kept the implied probability of a Republican victory well above 70 percent with no late-cycle developments yet altering that positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWI-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WI-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$18,600 Vol.
$18,600 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
76%
Parti démocrate
15%
$18,600 Vol.
$18,600 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$10,579 Vol.
76%
Parti démocrate
$8,021 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district carries an R+8 partisan voter index, placing it among the more Republican-leaning seats nationally and underpinning the strong trader consensus behind the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Glenn Grothman faces only limited opposition in the August 11 primary and a general-election challenge that includes an independent candidate, yet forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball continue to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. National generic-ballot polling has recently favored Democrats, but the district’s structural advantage and Grothman’s established incumbency have kept the implied probability of a Republican victory well above 70 percent with no late-cycle developments yet altering that positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$18,600Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district carries an R+8 partisan voter index, placing it among the more Republican-leaning seats nationally and underpinning the strong trader consensus behind the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Glenn Grothman faces only limited opposition in the August 11 primary and a general-election challenge that includes an independent candidate, yet forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball continue to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. National generic-ballot polling has recently favored Democrats, but the district’s structural advantage and Grothman’s established incumbency have kept the implied probability of a Republican victory well above 70 percent with no late-cycle developments yet altering that positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,600Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district carries an R+8 partisan voter index, placing it among the more Republican-leaning seats nationally and underpinning the strong trader consensus behind the Republican nominee. Incumbent Representative Glenn Grothman faces only limited opposition in the August 11 primary and a general-election challenge that includes an independent candidate, yet forecasters from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball continue to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. National generic-ballot polling has recently favored Democrats, but the district’s structural advantage and Grothman’s established incumbency have kept the implied probability of a Republican victory well above 70 percent with no late-cycle developments yet altering that positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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