Slovenia's National Assembly elections on March 22 produced a hung parliament under proportional representation, with no coalition securing the 46 seats needed for a majority among nine parties. Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's liberal Freedom Movement (GS) leads narrowly with 29 seats over Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 28, while kingmaker roles fall to the centre-right NSi/SLS/Focus bloc (9 seats), Social Democrats (SD, 6), Democrats (DEM, 6), Levica/Vesna alliance (5), and Resni.ca (5). Golob launched coalition talks on March 27 for a broad unity government excluding SDS amid an energy crisis fueled by European supply disruptions, but centre-right parties rejected the overture to pursue their own alliance; President Nataša Pirc Musar called for urgent negotiations, with outcomes hinging on smaller parties' policy priorities and timelines potentially extending weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourWhich parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
$95,356 Vol.

Freedom Movement (GS)
72%

Democrats (D)
81%

Social Democrats (SD)
69%

Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)
28%

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)
24%

Resni.ca (Res)
28%

The Left (Levica)
19%

New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)
34%

Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)
28%

Party of Generations (SG)
2%

Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)
2%

Prerod (PVP)
13%

Slovenian National Party (SNS)
1%

Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)
1%

Our Country (ND)
<1%
$95,356 Vol.

Freedom Movement (GS)
72%

Democrats (D)
81%

Social Democrats (SD)
69%

Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)
28%

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)
24%

Resni.ca (Res)
28%

The Left (Levica)
19%

New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)
34%

Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)
28%

Party of Generations (SG)
2%

Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)
2%

Prerod (PVP)
13%

Slovenian National Party (SNS)
1%

Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)
1%

Our Country (ND)
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Slovenia's National Assembly elections on March 22 produced a hung parliament under proportional representation, with no coalition securing the 46 seats needed for a majority among nine parties. Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's liberal Freedom Movement (GS) leads narrowly with 29 seats over Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 28, while kingmaker roles fall to the centre-right NSi/SLS/Focus bloc (9 seats), Social Democrats (SD, 6), Democrats (DEM, 6), Levica/Vesna alliance (5), and Resni.ca (5). Golob launched coalition talks on March 27 for a broad unity government excluding SDS amid an energy crisis fueled by European supply disruptions, but centre-right parties rejected the overture to pursue their own alliance; President Nataša Pirc Musar called for urgent negotiations, with outcomes hinging on smaller parties' policy priorities and timelines potentially extending weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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