Trader consensus heavily favors Las Vegas Raiders at 74.7% implied probability for Maxx Crosby's 2026 team, driven by the collapse of a tentative trade to the Baltimore Ravens last week over concerns about his degenerative knee condition during the physical. Raiders GM John Spytek confirmed the deal never finalized, and recent team statements emphasize restructuring Crosby's $106.5 million extension—signed in March 2025—to retain the Pro Bowl pass rusher amid cap flexibility. Crosby's own social media post affirming "I'm a Raider" bolstered retention odds. Cincinnati Bengals trail at 9.6% on speculative rumors from former player Adam "Pacman" Jones, despite low likelihood given cap constraints and pass-rush depth. Other contenders like Seattle Seahawks reflect general edge-rusher needs but lack momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLas Vegas Raiders 74.1%
Cincinnati Bengals 9.7%
Baltimore Ravens 3.6%
Dallas Cowboys 2.5%
$74,135 Vol.
$74,135 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
74%
Cincinnati Bengals
10%
Baltimore Ravens
4%
Dallas Cowboys
3%
New England Patriots
2%
Chicago Bears
2%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Indianapolis Colts
1%
Los Angeles Chargers
1%
Miami Dolphins
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Minnesota Vikings
1%
New York Jets
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
6%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders 74.1%
Cincinnati Bengals 9.7%
Baltimore Ravens 3.6%
Dallas Cowboys 2.5%
$74,135 Vol.
$74,135 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
74%
Cincinnati Bengals
10%
Baltimore Ravens
4%
Dallas Cowboys
3%
New England Patriots
2%
Chicago Bears
2%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Indianapolis Colts
1%
Los Angeles Chargers
1%
Miami Dolphins
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Minnesota Vikings
1%
New York Jets
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
6%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Las Vegas Raiders at 74.7% implied probability for Maxx Crosby's 2026 team, driven by the collapse of a tentative trade to the Baltimore Ravens last week over concerns about his degenerative knee condition during the physical. Raiders GM John Spytek confirmed the deal never finalized, and recent team statements emphasize restructuring Crosby's $106.5 million extension—signed in March 2025—to retain the Pro Bowl pass rusher amid cap flexibility. Crosby's own social media post affirming "I'm a Raider" bolstered retention odds. Cincinnati Bengals trail at 9.6% on speculative rumors from former player Adam "Pacman" Jones, despite low likelihood given cap constraints and pass-rush depth. Other contenders like Seattle Seahawks reflect general edge-rusher needs but lack momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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