Delcy Rodríguez's consolidation as interim president, marked by her March 18 overhaul of the military high command—including replacing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López—has propelled trader consensus to 65.5% odds for her as Venezuela's leader by end-2026, reflecting perceived loyalty from security forces amid U.S.-backed stabilization. Following Nicolás Maduro's January 3 capture by U.S. special forces and her January 5 swearing-in, Rodríguez enacted oil sector reforms to attract investment, secured amnesty for Chavistas, and advanced diplomatic ties with Washington despite public friction over sanctions relief. Maduro's 16.2% reflects slim return prospects from detention, while opposition leaders like María Corina Machado (12%) remain marginalized in ongoing transition talks lacking firm election timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLeader vénézuélien fin 2026 ?
Leader vénézuélien fin 2026 ?
Delcy Rodríguez 66%
Nicolás Maduro 16.1%
María Corina Machado 12%
Edmundo González 1.3%
$78,165,837 Vol.
$78,165,837 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
66%
Nicolás Maduro
16%
María Corina Machado
12%
Edmundo González
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
1%
Pas de chef d'État
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 66%
Nicolás Maduro 16.1%
María Corina Machado 12%
Edmundo González 1.3%
$78,165,837 Vol.
$78,165,837 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,251,227 Vol.
66%
Nicolás Maduro
$883,184 Vol.
16%
María Corina Machado
$838,613 Vol.
12%
Edmundo González
$445,476 Vol.
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,253,052 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$686,636 Vol.
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$448,014 Vol.
1%
Pas de chef d'État
$739,322 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$651,985 Vol.
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$863,229 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,059,241 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$24,627,573 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,144,558 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$2,747,396 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$1,967,274 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$30,559,059 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez's consolidation as interim president, marked by her March 18 overhaul of the military high command—including replacing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López—has propelled trader consensus to 65.5% odds for her as Venezuela's leader by end-2026, reflecting perceived loyalty from security forces amid U.S.-backed stabilization. Following Nicolás Maduro's January 3 capture by U.S. special forces and her January 5 swearing-in, Rodríguez enacted oil sector reforms to attract investment, secured amnesty for Chavistas, and advanced diplomatic ties with Washington despite public friction over sanctions relief. Maduro's 16.2% reflects slim return prospects from detention, while opposition leaders like María Corina Machado (12%) remain marginalized in ongoing transition talks lacking firm election timelines.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$78,165,837Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Delcy Rodríguez's consolidation as interim president, marked by her March 18 overhaul of the military high command—including replacing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López—has propelled trader consensus to 65.5% odds for her as Venezuela's leader by end-2026, reflecting perceived loyalty from security forces amid U.S.-backed stabilization. Following Nicolás Maduro's January 3 capture by U.S. special forces and her January 5 swearing-in, Rodríguez enacted oil sector reforms to attract investment, secured amnesty for Chavistas, and advanced diplomatic ties with Washington despite public friction over sanctions relief. Maduro's 16.2% reflects slim return prospects from detention, while opposition leaders like María Corina Machado (12%) remain marginalized in ongoing transition talks lacking firm election timelines.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$78,165,837Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delcy Rodríguez's consolidation as interim president, marked by her March 18 overhaul of the military high command—including replacing Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino López—has propelled trader consensus to 65.5% odds for her as Venezuela's leader by end-2026, reflecting perceived loyalty from security forces amid U.S.-backed stabilization. Following Nicolás Maduro's January 3 capture by U.S. special forces and her January 5 swearing-in, Rodríguez enacted oil sector reforms to attract investment, secured amnesty for Chavistas, and advanced diplomatic ties with Washington despite public friction over sanctions relief. Maduro's 16.2% reflects slim return prospects from detention, while opposition leaders like María Corina Machado (12%) remain marginalized in ongoing transition talks lacking firm election timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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