Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$153,922 Vol.

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States imposes an arms embargo on Israel at any point between October 13, 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024.

An arms embargo is defined as a formal U.S. government action that prohibits or restricts the sale, transfer, or delivery of military weapons or defense equipment to Israel or an official announcement from the U.S. government announcing an embargo.

A limited embargo, restricting only certain categories of military equipment, will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

An announcement of an embargo will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether the embargo actually goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$153,922
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2024
Créé le
Oct 15, 2024, 1:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States imposes an arms embargo on Israel at any point between October 13, 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024. An arms embargo is defined as a formal U.S. government action that prohibits or restricts the sale, transfer, or delivery of military weapons or defense equipment to Israel or an official announcement from the U.S. government announcing an embargo. A limited embargo, restricting only certain categories of military equipment, will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An announcement of an embargo will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether the embargo actually goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$153,922 Vol.

À propos

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States imposes an arms embargo on Israel at any point between October 13, 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024.

An arms embargo is defined as a formal U.S. government action that prohibits or restricts the sale, transfer, or delivery of military weapons or defense equipment to Israel or an official announcement from the U.S. government announcing an embargo.

A limited embargo, restricting only certain categories of military equipment, will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

An announcement of an embargo will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether the embargo actually goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$153,922
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2024
Créé le
Oct 15, 2024, 1:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States imposes an arms embargo on Israel at any point between October 13, 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024. An arms embargo is defined as a formal U.S. government action that prohibits or restricts the sale, transfer, or delivery of military weapons or defense equipment to Israel or an official announcement from the U.S. government announcing an embargo. A limited embargo, restricting only certain categories of military equipment, will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An announcement of an embargo will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether the embargo actually goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.